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ADC Agree Realty Corporation

Real Estate

67.07 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -3.6%
Open
68.18
High
68.32
Low
66.82
Prev close
67.61
Volume
1.9M
Amplitude
2.22%
P/E
34.6
P/B
1.3
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+17.7%
52W 64.34 82.08

Is Agree Realty Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but TTM P/E is Pricey.
TTM P/E 34.57 73th percentile Pricey
Price / book 1.26 42th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 6 70th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good FCF margin, TTM is Top, but ROE, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 3.48 50th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 49.27 92th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 64.66 94th percentile Top
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 17.66 72th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 12.79 63th percentile Good
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -11.12 40th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -5.09 45th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
20-day dollar volume 112,977,151 88th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 18.82 20th percentile Top
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Agree Realty Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Agree Realty Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Agree Realty Corporation

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) peers and tracking

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Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 143.18%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
9 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-25)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 50%, Sample 8, Median +1.13%, Excess -0.41%, Beat mkt rate 50%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 8, Median +0.34%, Excess -0.43%, Beat mkt rate 37.5%

120-day: Win 87.5%, Sample 8, Median +3.9%, Excess -1.33%, Beat mkt rate 37.5%

120 days after: historical avg +5.43%

20-day -0.5%
60-day +1.61%
120-day +5.43%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
50%
87.5%
Sample
8
8
8
Median
+1.13%
+0.34%
+3.9%
Excess
-0.41%
-0.43%
-1.33%
Beat mkt rate
50%
37.5%
37.5%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.43%, lagged the market by 1.33 pts; win rate 87.5%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 You are here139+35.3% +36.2% 100% +12.6%
40-60 284+7.7% +8% 52.5% -10.3%
60-80 479+5.3% +7.5% 76.4% -13.3%
80-100 545+1.6% +2.5% 63.1% -7.7%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 34.57, placing it in the 31.4 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
+9.5%
Win rate 73.7% Excess -3%
190d
-0.9%
Win rate 46.3% Excess -7.5%
678d
60-day momentum down
Now
+18.9%
Win rate 94.9% Excess +3.3%
59d
+4.6%
Win rate 56.4% Excess -5.1%
369d
+5.1%
Win rate 82.3% Excess +1.1%
271d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 59 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 18.9%, win rate 94.9%, beat the market by 3.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.07%, win rate 45.8%, beating the market by -3.65 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

12 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.03%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by -4.43 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.67%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by -4.17 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.