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ALKS

Alkermes plc Healthcare As of 2026-06-18
Quality Above avg
Valuation Expensive
Risk Moderate
44.99 Close (USD)
+58.42% 60-day
  • Quality is above average. Operating margin sits near the 61th percentile. TTM ROE is about 8.7%.
  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 90th percentile, above most peers.
  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 67th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $95.1M.
  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Top-quintile 6-month momentum currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Factor profile

Factor radar Weak Valuation
30
ValuationQualityGrowthMomentumRisk / liquidity

Valuation

Indicators in this group are ranked by market percentile; lower valuation and volatility are better.

30 Weak
TTM P/E 49.99
Expensive
Price / book 4.27
Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 2.97
Good

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

13 historical occurrences (since 2017-03-02)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 38.5%, Sample 13, Median -3.63%, Excess -0.87%, Beat mkt rate 38.5%;60-day: Win 27.3%, Sample 11, Median -10.06%, Excess -6.19%, Beat mkt rate 27.3%;120-day: Win 18.2%, Sample 11, Median -16.56%, Excess -16.42%, Beat mkt rate 0%

120 days after: historical avg -9.63%

20-day +0.72%
60-day -4.01%
120-day -9.63%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
38.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Sample
13
11
11
Median
-3.63%
-10.06%
-16.56%
Excess
-0.87%
-6.19%
-16.42%
Beat mkt rate
38.5%
27.3%
0%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 9.63%, lagged the market by 16.42 pts; win rate 18.2%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 85.84745762711864%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

18 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-21)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 52.9%, Sample 17, Median +0.1%, Excess -2.21%, Beat mkt rate 41.2%;60-day: Win 35.3%, Sample 17, Median -2.46%, Excess -6.77%, Beat mkt rate 29.4%;120-day: Win 35.3%, Sample 17, Median -2.76%, Excess -12.48%, Beat mkt rate 17.6%

120 days after: historical avg -4.85%

20-day -0.87%
60-day -2.87%
120-day -4.85%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.9%
35.3%
35.3%
Sample
17
17
17
Median
+0.1%
-2.46%
-2.76%
Excess
-2.21%
-6.77%
-12.48%
Beat mkt rate
41.2%
29.4%
17.6%

Over 17 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 4.85%, lagged the market by 12.48 pts; win rate 35.3%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 94,737 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.40%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.10 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.48%, win rate 42.9%, beating the market by -1.53 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

35 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.56%, win rate 51.6%, beating the market by -0.39 pts on average.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.