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COCO The Vita Coco Company, Inc.

Consumer Defensive

58.21 -0.27 -0.46% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +65.2%
Open
59.49
High
59.49
Low
56.89
Prev close
58.48
Volume
1.2M
Amplitude
4.45%
P/E
29.4
P/B
7.8
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+26.0%
52W 39.69 85.83

Is The Vita Coco Company, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Strong, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 29.36 67th percentile Pricey
Price / book 7.78 90th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 4.32 64th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; Operating margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 28.1 87th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 19.85 71th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 18.76 75th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Strong Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Top; Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 25.97 79th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 73.74 81th percentile Top
Momentum Good 240-day return is Good, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -8.8 45th percentile Average
240-day return (%) 33.36 80th percentile Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 82,899,933 85th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 49.69 55th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From The Vita Coco Company, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of The Vita Coco Company, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) peers and tracking

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The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 24.28%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
15 historical occurrences (since 2022-05-11)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 64.3%, Sample 14, Median +9.31%, Excess +5.47%, Beat mkt rate 64.3%

60-day: Win 78.6%, Sample 14, Median +11.46%, Excess +7.21%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

120-day: Win 76.9%, Sample 13, Median +4.73%, Excess +6.6%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%

120 days after: historical avg +14.53%

20-day +7.76%
60-day +11.89%
120-day +14.53%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
64.3%
78.6%
76.9%
Sample
14
14
13
Median
+9.31%
+11.46%
+4.73%
Excess
+5.47%
+7.21%
+6.6%
Beat mkt rate
64.3%
57.1%
53.8%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 14.53%, beat the market by 6.6 pts; win rate 76.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here1Insufficient data
20-40 34+97.3% +95.8% 100% +76.7%
40-60 194+62% +52.9% 100% +44%
60-80 25Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 29.36, placing it in the 14.8 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(1d)
+21%
Win rate 74.9% Excess +16.1%
175d
+24.6%
Win rate 81.7% Excess +15.2%
82d
60-day momentum down
Now
Insufficient data
(15d)
+26%
Win rate 99% Excess +10.4%
100d
Insufficient data
(1d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.93%, win rate 61.5%, beating the market by +6.59 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.78%, win rate 63.2%, beating the market by +6.46 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.69%, win rate 62.5%, beating the market by -2.67 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.