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COCO

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. Consumer Defensive As of 2026-06-18
Quality Above avg
Valuation Expensive
Risk High vol
Active signals Active 52-week adjusted-price high Top-quintile 6-month momentum Filed revenue acceleration
84.02 Close (USD)
+53.57% 60-day
  • Quality is above average. Operating margin sits near the 65th percentile. TTM ROE is about 23.5%.
  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 92th percentile, above most peers.
  • Recent volatility is elevated. 60-day annualized volatility is in the 80th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $73.9M.
  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Top-quintile 6-month momentum, Filed revenue acceleration currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Factor profile

Factor radar Weak Valuation
22
ValuationQualityGrowthMomentumRisk / liquidity

Valuation

Indicators in this group are ranked by market percentile; lower valuation and volatility are better.

22 Weak
TTM P/E 61.26
Expensive
Price / book 13.63
Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 1.34
Good

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

13 historical occurrences (since 2023-02-13)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 58.3%, Sample 12, Median +4.69%, Excess +1.75%, Beat mkt rate 58.3%；60-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 11, Median +17.11%, Excess +11.7%, Beat mkt rate 63.6%；120-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 8, Median +3.33%, Excess +8.69%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%

120 days after: historical avg +12.77%

20-day +2.14%
60-day +12.63%
120-day +12.77%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58.3%
63.6%
62.5%
Sample
12
11
8
Median
+4.69%
+17.11%
+3.33%
Excess
+1.75%
+11.7%
+8.69%
Beat mkt rate
58.3%
63.6%
62.5%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 12.77%, beat the market by 8.69 pts; win rate 62.5%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 86.01694915254238%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

17 historical occurrences (since 2022-06-03)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 68.8%, Sample 16, Median +4.15%, Excess +1.31%, Beat mkt rate 50%；60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 15, Median +6.96%, Excess +7.3%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%；120-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 14, Median +20.52%, Excess +17.72%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%

120 days after: historical avg +25.98%

20-day +2.57%
60-day +9.71%
120-day +25.98%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
68.8%
66.7%
57.1%
Sample
16
15
14
Median
+4.15%
+6.96%
+20.52%
Excess
+1.31%
+7.3%
+17.72%
Beat mkt rate
50%
66.7%
57.1%

Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 25.98%, beat the market by 17.72 pts; win rate 57.1%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 23.053008392559548%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 historical occurrences (since 2022-05-13)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 7, Median +0.1%, Excess +3.8%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%；60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 6, Median +5.8%, Excess +0.19%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%；120-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 6, Median -5.53%, Excess -4.71%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%

120 days after: historical avg +1.95%

20-day +5.07%
60-day +3.39%
120-day +1.95%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.1%
66.7%
33.3%
Sample
7
6
6
Median
+0.1%
+5.8%
-5.53%
Excess
+3.8%
+0.19%
-4.71%
Beat mkt rate
57.1%
66.7%
33.3%

Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.95%, lagged the market by 4.71 pts; win rate 33.3%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 1Insufficient data
20-40 16Insufficient data
40-60 144+61.1% +52.1% 100% +42.7%
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 61.26, placing it in the 82.4 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(1d)
+21.2%
Win rate 74.7% Excess +16.5%
170d
Now
Insufficient data
(23d)
60-day momentum down
Insufficient data
(15d)
+29.7%
Win rate 100% Excess +13.3%
72d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 94,737 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.40%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.10 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +15.11%, win rate 83.3%, beating the market by +10.29 pts on average.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.