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CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Technology As of 2026-06-18
Quality Top tier
Valuation Expensive
Risk High vol
Active signals Active 52-week adjusted-price high Top-quintile 6-month momentum
271.83 Close (USD)
+171.02% 60-day
  • Quality is top-tier. Operating margin ranks above roughly 86% of the liquid US common-stock universe. TTM ROE is about 22.9%.
  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 96th percentile, above most peers.
  • Recent volatility is elevated. 60-day annualized volatility is in the 90th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $2,251.2M.
  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Top-quintile 6-month momentum currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Factor profile

Factor radar Weak Valuation
19
ValuationQualityGrowthMomentumRisk / liquidity

Valuation

Indicators in this group are ranked by market percentile; lower valuation and volatility are better.

19 Weak
TTM P/E 109.61
Expensive
Price / book 24.33
Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 0.81
Average

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

12 historical occurrences (since 2023-02-01)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 12, Median -4.7%, Excess -2.76%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%；60-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -0.21%, Excess +2.59%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%；120-day: Win 72.7%, Sample 11, Median +23.34%, Excess +27.46%, Beat mkt rate 81.8%

120 days after: historical avg +34.05%

20-day -1.25%
60-day +5.41%
120-day +34.05%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
33.3%
45.5%
72.7%
Sample
12
11
11
Median
-4.7%
-0.21%
+23.34%
Excess
-2.76%
+2.59%
+27.46%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
45.5%
81.8%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 34.05%, beat the market by 27.46 pts; win rate 72.7%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 91.35593220338983%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

17 historical occurrences (since 2022-07-29)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 16, Median +12.5%, Excess +5.42%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%；60-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 16, Median +13.31%, Excess +20.11%, Beat mkt rate 56.2%；120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 15, Median +58.42%, Excess +49.71%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%

120 days after: historical avg +60.13%

20-day +7.55%
60-day +24.21%
120-day +60.13%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
62.5%
62.5%
66.7%
Sample
16
16
15
Median
+12.5%
+13.31%
+58.42%
Excess
+5.42%
+20.11%
+49.71%
Beat mkt rate
62.5%
56.2%
66.7%

Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 60.13%, beat the market by 49.71 pts; win rate 66.7%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 94,737 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.40%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.10 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +43.1%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +38.78 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +26.64%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +22.76 pts on average.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.