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FRO

Frontline Ltd. Energy As of 2026-06-18
Quality Top tier
Valuation Fair
Risk Moderate
Active signals Active 52-week adjusted-price high Top-quintile 6-month momentum Filed revenue acceleration
40.93 Close (USD)
+20.07% 60-day
  • Quality is top-tier. Operating margin ranks above roughly 89% of the liquid US common-stock universe. TTM ROE is about 31.9%.
  • Valuation is middle-of-pack. TTM P/E is near the 58th percentile.
  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 61th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $131.7M.
  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Top-quintile 6-month momentum, Filed revenue acceleration currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Factor profile

Factor radar Neutral Valuation
47
ValuationQualityGrowthMomentumRisk / liquidity

Valuation

Indicators in this group are ranked by market percentile; lower valuation and volatility are better.

47 Neutral
TTM P/E 10.08
Pricey
Price / book 3.21
Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 6.5
Good

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

20 historical occurrences (since 2018-10-03)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 47.4%, Sample 19, Median -0.33%, Excess +1.64%, Beat mkt rate 47.4%；60-day: Win 52.6%, Sample 19, Median +2.36%, Excess -0.1%, Beat mkt rate 52.6%；120-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 18, Median +6.98%, Excess +0.35%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%

120 days after: historical avg +4.49%

20-day +1.86%
60-day +0.61%
120-day +4.49%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
47.4%
52.6%
55.6%
Sample
19
19
18
Median
-0.33%
+2.36%
+6.98%
Excess
+1.64%
-0.1%
+0.35%
Beat mkt rate
47.4%
52.6%
44.4%

Over 18 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4.49%, beat the market by 0.35 pts; win rate 55.6%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 90.76271186440678%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

30 historical occurrences (since 2018-06-18)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 58.6%, Sample 29, Median +1.77%, Excess +1.05%, Beat mkt rate 55.2%；60-day: Win 72.4%, Sample 29, Median +15.09%, Excess +9.24%, Beat mkt rate 69%；120-day: Win 75%, Sample 28, Median +24.87%, Excess +11.41%, Beat mkt rate 71.4%

120 days after: historical avg +17.64%

20-day +2.19%
60-day +12.38%
120-day +17.64%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58.6%
72.4%
75%
Sample
29
29
28
Median
+1.77%
+15.09%
+24.87%
Excess
+1.05%
+9.24%
+11.41%
Beat mkt rate
55.2%
69%
71.4%

Over 28 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 17.64%, beat the market by 11.41 pts; win rate 75%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 18.5080537767639%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

10 historical occurrences (since 2019-03-28)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 55.6%, Sample 9, Median +1.85%, Excess +8.06%, Beat mkt rate 44.4%；60-day: Win 77.8%, Sample 9, Median +8.64%, Excess +1.82%, Beat mkt rate 55.6%；120-day: Win 88.9%, Sample 9, Median +30.09%, Excess +11.59%, Beat mkt rate 77.8%

120 days after: historical avg +24.65%

20-day +9.68%
60-day +9.19%
120-day +24.65%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
55.6%
77.8%
88.9%
Sample
9
9
9
Median
+1.85%
+8.64%
+30.09%
Excess
+8.06%
+1.82%
+11.59%
Beat mkt rate
44.4%
55.6%
77.8%

Over 9 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 24.65%, beat the market by 11.59 pts; win rate 88.9%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 78+76.5% +76.8% 100% +78.4%
20-40 502+39.2% +40.9% 68.1% +22.7%
40-60 You are here234+29.5% +41% 71.4% +12.5%
60-80 32+112% +110% 100% +93.8%
80-100 83+65.4% +66.1% 100% +63.7%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 10.08, placing it in the 51.6 own-history percentile, inside the 40-60 bucket.

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+20%
Win rate 88.1% Excess +9.8%
293d
Now
+10%
Win rate 69.6% Excess -0.1%
326d
+49.1%
Win rate 100% Excess +49.9%
132d
60-day momentum down
+39.6%
Win rate 100% Excess +36%
134d
-9.4%
Win rate 31.5% Excess -14.6%
124d
+85.1%
Win rate 100% Excess +90.1%
40d

Currently in “Middle × 60-day momentum up”: across 326 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 10%, win rate 69.6%, lagged the market by 0.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 94,737 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.40%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.10 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.49%, win rate 33.3%, beating the market by -3.58 pts on average.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.