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LRN Stride, Inc.

Consumer Defensive

79.21 +0.79 +1.01% Close 10/27
Since 2024-11-25 -26.1%
Open
78.04
High
79.79
Low
78.04
Prev close
78.42
Volume
917K
Amplitude
2.23%
P/E
10.9
P/B
2.0
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+2.5%
52W 60.61 155.06

Is Stride, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-26

Valuation: Fair, Quality: Good, Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Valuation Fair Free-cash-flow yield is Top, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 10.91 28th percentile Fair
Price / book 1.97 59th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 12.83 86th percentile Top
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top; Operating margin, TTM is Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 20 82th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 18.37 70th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 16.68 71th percentile Good
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 2.48 41th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 10.96 62th percentile Good
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) -2.33 57th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 20.29 73th percentile Good
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 67,948,476 84th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 32.21 37th percentile Good

Stride, Inc. (LRN) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-26

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Stride, Inc. (LRN) peers and tracking

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Stride, Inc. (LRN) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 28.04%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

37 historical occurrences (since 2015-01-29)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 33, Median +6.14%, Excess +3.85%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

60-day: Win 59.4%, Sample 32, Median +12.95%, Excess +6.53%, Beat mkt rate 53.1%

120-day: Win 68.8%, Sample 32, Median +16.93%, Excess +9.93%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%

120 days after: historical avg +16.98%

20-day +5.02%
60-day +10.78%
120-day +16.98%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.5%
59.4%
68.8%
Sample
33
32
32
Median
+6.14%
+12.95%
+16.93%
Excess
+3.85%
+6.53%
+9.93%
Beat mkt rate
54.5%
53.1%
62.5%

Over 32 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 16.98%, beat the market by 9.93 pts; win rate 68.8%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here953+48.9% +43.1% 94.8% +34.8%
20-40 225+21.3% +8.9% 62.2% +14.6%
40-60 256-19.4% -34.4% 31.2% -44.2%
60-80 38-36.1% -34.3% 0% -61.2%
80-100 17Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 10.91, placing it in the 2.2 own-history percentile, inside the 0-20 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+18.9%
Win rate 71.9% Excess +11.6%
776d
-10.2%
Win rate 44.1% Excess -19.9%
297d
-45.1%
Win rate 0% Excess -60.8%
31d
60-day momentum down
Now
+38.2%
Win rate 97.5% Excess +33.1%
447d
-21%
Win rate 45.1% Excess -33.5%
51d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 447 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 38.2%, win rate 97.5%, beat the market by 33.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,407 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.49%, a 58.5% positive-return rate, and +3.14 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.09%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +0.84 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

26 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.33%, win rate 53.8%, beating the market by +1.47 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.94%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by -4.62 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.