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MATX Matson, Inc.

Industrials

223.85 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 +46.1%
Open
222.68
High
227.21
Low
221.39
Prev close
226.99
Volume
297.5K
Amplitude
2.56%
P/E
15.0
P/B
2.4
Revenue YoY (TTM)
-0.2%
52W 96.70 240.87

Is Matson, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey TTM P/E is Fair, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 14.96 41th percentile Fair
Price / book 2.41 65th percentile Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 1.85 54th percentile Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 16.72 78th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 14.49 64th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 3.58 48th percentile Average
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) -0.16 35th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 1.15 56th percentile Good
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 8.53 84th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 110.8 97th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 62,068,059 83th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 26.39 30th percentile Good

Matson, Inc. (MATX) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Matson, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Matson, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

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Matson, Inc. (MATX) peers and tracking

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Matson, Inc. (MATX) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 83.62%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

24 historical occurrences (since 2016-11-02)

Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum

20-day: Win 50%, Sample 24, Median +0.3%, Excess -2.07%, Beat mkt rate 45.8%

60-day: Win 47.8%, Sample 23, Median -1.5%, Excess -2.76%, Beat mkt rate 43.5%

120-day: Win 56.5%, Sample 23, Median +5.67%, Excess +0.82%, Beat mkt rate 60.9%

120 days after: historical avg +5.55%

20-day -0.44%
60-day -0.53%
120-day +5.55%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
47.8%
56.5%
Sample
24
23
23
Median
+0.3%
-1.5%
+5.67%
Excess
-2.07%
-2.76%
+0.82%
Beat mkt rate
45.8%
43.5%
60.9%

Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 5.55%, beat the market by 0.82 pts; win rate 56.5%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 369+24.9% +28.2% 63.7% +15.7%
20-40 348+58.5% +53.1% 84.8% +48.7%
40-60 433+25.7% +19.8% 63.3% +6%
60-80 You are here80+58.7% +91.9% 57.5% +33.7%
80-100 167+64.5% +62.6% 100% +37.3%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 14.96, placing it in the 67.8 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+13.3%
Win rate 66.8% Excess +14.6%
265d
+18.7%
Win rate 82.6% Excess +9.4%
484d
Now
+39%
Win rate 93.9% Excess +23.7%
180d
60-day momentum down
+22.3%
Win rate 66.2% Excess +16.7%
334d
+19.1%
Win rate 60.1% Excess +4.5%
233d
Insufficient data
(21d)

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 180 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 39%, win rate 93.9%, beat the market by 23.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

26 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.24%, win rate 52%, beating the market by +0.76 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.41%, win rate 42.9%, beating the market by +0.9 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

31 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.51%, win rate 60.7%, beating the market by +3.84 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.