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MGA

Magna International Inc. Consumer Cyclical As of 2026-07-31 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

3 active signals
52-week adjusted-price high Top-quintile 6-month momentum EPS surprise beat
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Magna International Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 51Quality 53Growth 39Momentum 81Risk / liquidity 75

Is Magna International Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Quality is weaker than peers. Operating margin is only around the 49th percentile. TTM ROE is about 5.6%.

  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 81th percentile, above most peers.

  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 33th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $83.2M.

  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Top-quintile 6-month momentum, EPS surprise beat currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 historical occurrences (since 2017-07-11)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 14, Median +0.65%, Excess +0.16%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%；60-day: Win 50%, Sample 14, Median +0.98%, Excess -0.97%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%；120-day: Win 61.5%, Sample 13, Median +15.76%, Excess +2.6%, Beat mkt rate 61.5%

120 days after: historical avg +9.38%

20-day +1.12%
60-day +3.14%
120-day +9.38%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.1%
50%
61.5%
Sample
14
14
13
Median
+0.65%
+0.98%
+15.76%
Excess
+0.16%
-0.97%
+2.6%
Beat mkt rate
57.1%
57.1%
61.5%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.38%, beat the market by 2.6 pts; win rate 61.5%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 81.1063829787234%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

15 historical occurrences (since 2017-09-20)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 64.3%, Sample 14, Median +3.87%, Excess -0.87%, Beat mkt rate 64.3%；60-day: Win 61.5%, Sample 13, Median +5.16%, Excess -1.42%, Beat mkt rate 61.5%；120-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 11, Median +15.8%, Excess +2.08%, Beat mkt rate 54.5%

120 days after: historical avg +10.99%

20-day +1.29%
60-day +4.48%
120-day +10.99%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
64.3%
61.5%
63.6%
Sample
14
13
11
Median
+3.87%
+5.16%
+15.8%
Excess
-0.87%
-1.42%
+2.08%
Beat mkt rate
64.3%
61.5%
54.5%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 10.99%, beat the market by 2.08 pts; win rate 63.6%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 15.527950310559005%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

23 historical occurrences (since 2015-02-25)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 21, Median +4.62%, Excess +0.08%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%；60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 21, Median +4.43%, Excess +0.02%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%；120-day: Win 63.2%, Sample 19, Median +6.41%, Excess +1.53%, Beat mkt rate 47.4%

120 days after: historical avg +8.82%

20-day +0.31%
60-day +3.04%
120-day +8.82%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
66.7%
66.7%
63.2%
Sample
21
21
19
Median
+4.62%
+4.43%
+6.41%
Excess
+0.08%
+0.02%
+1.53%
Beat mkt rate
66.7%
57.1%
47.4%

Over 19 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 8.82%, beat the market by 1.53 pts; win rate 63.2%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 47+154.5% +153.3% 100% +110.1%
20-40 178+50.9% +62.2% 92.7% +29.9%
40-60 241+16.6% +8.8% 58.5% +1.1%
60-80 395-21.2% -22.7% 5.8% -28.9%
80-100 You are here496+0.4% -4% 37.7% -15%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 28.78, placing it in the 91.9 own-history percentile, inside the 80-100 bucket.

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(21d)
+20.9%
Win rate 73.7% Excess +14.2%
205d
Now
+7.2%
Win rate 42.9% Excess -1.6%
524d
60-day momentum down
+31.4%
Win rate 85.2% Excess +13.3%
122d
-4.5%
Win rate 36.9% Excess -12.9%
198d
-6.1%
Win rate 29.5% Excess -8.8%
407d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 524 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 7.2%, win rate 42.9%, lagged the market by 1.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 97,878 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.26%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +2.90 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.