Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze MXL MaxLinear, Inc.. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=MXL

No install, open FinLab Studio

MXL

MaxLinear, Inc. Technology As of 2026-07-31 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, discounted valuation.

3 active signals
Top-quintile 6-month momentum Filed revenue acceleration EPS surprise beat
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add MaxLinear, Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 49Quality 30Growth 61Momentum 60Risk / liquidity 51

Is MaxLinear, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Quality is weaker than peers. Operating margin is only around the 25th percentile. TTM ROE is about -21.4%.

  • Valuation is cheaper than most peers. TTM P/E is in the 5th percentile, lower than most liquid US common stocks.

  • Recent volatility is elevated. 60-day annualized volatility is in the 93th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $317.5M.

  • Signals are active now. Top-quintile 6-month momentum, Filed revenue acceleration, EPS surprise beat currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 99.91489361702128%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

19 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-05)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 47.4%, Sample 19, Median -0.6%, Excess +17.84%, Beat mkt rate 47.4%；60-day: Win 52.6%, Sample 19, Median +3.58%, Excess +18.52%, Beat mkt rate 47.4%；120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 18, Median +14.76%, Excess +27.5%, Beat mkt rate 61.1%

120 days after: historical avg +34.7%

20-day +19.38%
60-day +21.28%
120-day +34.7%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
47.4%
52.6%
66.7%
Sample
19
19
18
Median
-0.6%
+3.58%
+14.76%
Excess
+17.84%
+18.52%
+27.5%
Beat mkt rate
47.4%
47.4%
61.1%

Over 18 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 34.7%, beat the market by 27.5 pts; win rate 66.7%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 50.504609605438944%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 historical occurrences (since 2018-05-09)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 6, Median +1.81%, Excess +32.39%, Beat mkt rate 50%；60-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 6, Median +16.57%, Excess +50.78%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%；120-day: Win 80%, Sample 5, Median +37.01%, Excess +88.51%, Beat mkt rate 80%

120 days after: historical avg +94.09%

20-day +33.94%
60-day +55.73%
120-day +94.09%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
66.7%
80%
Sample
6
6
5
Median
+1.81%
+16.57%
+37.01%
Excess
+32.39%
+50.78%
+88.51%
Beat mkt rate
50%
66.7%
80%

Over 5 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 94.09%, beat the market by 88.51 pts; win rate 80%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 6.286061342241117%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

28 historical occurrences (since 2015-02-09)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 45.8%, Sample 24, Median -2.95%, Excess +6.11%, Beat mkt rate 45.8%；60-day: Win 58.3%, Sample 24, Median +6.79%, Excess +11.94%, Beat mkt rate 54.2%；120-day: Win 60.9%, Sample 23, Median +7.88%, Excess +21.37%, Beat mkt rate 52.2%

120 days after: historical avg +27.03%

20-day +7.74%
60-day +14.45%
120-day +27.03%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
45.8%
58.3%
60.9%
Sample
24
24
23
Median
-2.95%
+6.79%
+7.88%
Excess
+6.11%
+11.94%
+21.37%
Beat mkt rate
45.8%
54.2%
52.2%

Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 27.03%, beat the market by 21.37 pts; win rate 60.9%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 97,878 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.26%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +2.90 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +27.29%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +23.83 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.