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NUVL

Nuvalent, Inc. Healthcare As of 2026-07-31 Updated daily after market close

discounted valuation.

1 active signal
52-week adjusted-price high
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Nuvalent, Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 44Quality 40Growth 63Momentum 50Risk / liquidity 53

Is Nuvalent, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Valuation is cheaper than most peers. TTM P/E is in the 11th percentile, lower than most liquid US common stocks.

  • Recent volatility is elevated. 60-day annualized volatility is in the 86th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $205.0M.

  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

11 historical occurrences (since 2022-10-28)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 11, Median +0.47%, Excess -1.31%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%；60-day: Win 60%, Sample 10, Median +5.45%, Excess +2.8%, Beat mkt rate 50%；120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 9, Median +7.54%, Excess +5.69%, Beat mkt rate 55.6%

120 days after: historical avg +13.65%

20-day -1.07%
60-day +7.45%
120-day +13.65%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.5%
60%
66.7%
Sample
11
10
9
Median
+0.47%
+5.45%
+7.54%
Excess
-1.31%
+2.8%
+5.69%
Beat mkt rate
45.5%
50%
55.6%

Over 9 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 13.65%, beat the market by 5.69 pts; win rate 66.7%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 97,878 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.26%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +2.90 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +26.7%, win rate 54.5%, beating the market by +23.59 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg +30.41%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +27.52 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.