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ORCL Oracle Corporation

Technology

130.68 Close 10/30
Since 2024-12-02 -26.2%
Open
133.62
High
135.20
Low
129.27
Prev close
139.56
Volume
39.8M
Amplitude
4.25%
P/E
20.5
P/B
5.9
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+21.6%
52W 114.50 265.81

Is Oracle Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Average; Price / book is Expensive.
TTM P/E 20.48 54th percentile Pricey
Price / book 5.92 85th percentile Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -7.27 30th percentile Average
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good ROE, TTM is Top, but FCF margin, TTM is Lagging.
ROE, TTM (%) 28.34 87th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 32.36 85th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) -40.01 20th percentile Lagging
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 21.62 76th percentile Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 47.69 76th percentile Good
Momentum Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
60-day return (%) -8.59 45th percentile Average
240-day return (%) -40.56 21th percentile Average
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top, but 60-day annualized volatility is Average.
20-day dollar volume 4,190,388,799 100th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 56.09 61th percentile Average
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From Oracle Corporation to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Oracle Corporation across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Oracle Corporation

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) peers and tracking

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Oracle Corporation (ORCL) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 21.62%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 historical occurrences (since 2022-12-13)

Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration

20-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 7, Median -2.41%, Excess -5.47%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

60-day: Win 50%, Sample 6, Median -0.36%, Excess +0.88%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120-day: Win 60%, Sample 5, Median +8.12%, Excess +3.55%, Beat mkt rate 60%

120 days after: historical avg +13.03%

20-day -3.49%
60-day +3.84%
120-day +13.03%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
42.9%
50%
60%
Sample
7
6
5
Median
-2.41%
-0.36%
+8.12%
Excess
-5.47%
+0.88%
+3.55%
Beat mkt rate
42.9%
50%
60%

Over 5 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 13.03%, beat the market by 3.55 pts; win rate 60%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 314+25.2% +14.5% 91.4% +3.4%
20-40 You are here166+29.6% +43.2% 72.9% +13.2%
40-60 109-4.1% -13.6% 24.8% -0.7%
60-80 380+31.7% +28.7% 93.2% +15.6%
80-100 628+22.6% +22.8% 76.6% +9.2%

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 20.48, placing it in the 33.1 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+13.2%
Win rate 74.3% Excess +2.5%
284d
+4.3%
Win rate 49.3% Excess -1%
203d
+7.7%
Win rate 62.7% Excess +1.5%
611d
60-day momentum down
Now
+6.7%
Win rate 69% Excess -0.4%
129d
+15.2%
Win rate 43.8% Excess +0.8%
73d
+19.1%
Win rate 70.7% Excess +13.6%
417d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom third) × 60-day momentum down”: across 129 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 6.7%, win rate 69%, lagged the market by 0.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.83%, win rate 55.2%, beating the market by -1.51 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.88%, win rate 63.2%, beating the market by +0.89 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.27%, win rate 73.3%, beating the market by +0.41 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.