Filed revenue acceleration
Active · now 27.197759493262332%TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.
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TRP
TC Energy Corporation Energy As of 2026-07-31 Updated daily after market close
strong quality, premium valuation.
2 active signals
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add TC Energy Corporation to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Is TC Energy Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Quality is top-tier. Operating margin ranks above roughly 91% of the liquid US common-stock universe. TTM ROE is about 12.5%.
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Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 74th percentile, above most peers.
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Recent volatility is comparatively low. 60-day annualized volatility is in the 15th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $126.9M.
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Signals are active now. Filed revenue acceleration, EPS surprise beat currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.
Historical evidence
Signals active now
Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.
EPS surprise beat
Active · now 11.475409836065584%Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 18, Median +0.29%, Excess -0.88%, Beat mkt rate 38.9%；60-day: Win 61.1%, Sample 18, Median +5.09%, Excess -1.25%, Beat mkt rate 38.9%；120-day: Win 64.7%, Sample 17, Median +5.48%, Excess -0.67%, Beat mkt rate 52.9%
120 days after: historical avg +6.3%
20-day +0.29%
60-day +2.92%
120-day +6.3%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
61.1%
64.7%
Sample
18
18
17
Median
+0.29%
+5.09%
+5.48%
Excess
-0.88%
-1.25%
-0.67%
Beat mkt rate
38.9%
38.9%
52.9%
Over 17 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.3%, lagged the market by 0.67 pts; win rate 64.7%.
Valuation regime and forward returns
Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.
0-20 +14.5%
20-40 +35.9%
40-60 +10.9%
60-80 +0.6% Now
80-100 +8.9%
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 326 | +14.5% | +14.2% | 98.5% | -13.1% |
| 20-40 | 73 | +35.9% | +38.8% | 98.6% | +15.6% |
| 40-60 | 386 | +10.9% | +22% | 54.1% | -3.8% |
| 60-80 You are here | 265 | +0.6% | +6.6% | 60.8% | -3.9% |
| 80-100 | 334 | +8.9% | +3.8% | 55.1% | -2.2% |
Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.
Current TTM P/E is about 21.14, placing it in the 70.9 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.
Valuation × momentum analogs
Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+4%
166d
+9.2%
391d
Now
+0.6%
260d
60-day momentum down
+7.6%
194d
+4.5%
238d
+5.3%
255d
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 260 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 0.6%, win rate 53.8%, lagged the market by 4.5%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Market-wide momentum baseline
Across 97,878 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.26%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +2.90 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.
Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).
Signals not active now
Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.
52-week adjusted-price high
PendingAdjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
24 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.28%, win rate 47.8%, beating the market by -1.34 pts on average.
Top-quintile 6-month momentum
PendingThe stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.
14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.84%, win rate 61.5%, beating the market by +1.83 pts on average.
Method and limits
- Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
- Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
- Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
- The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
- Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
- Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.