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XMTR

Xometry, Inc. Industrials As of 2026-08-06 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, discounted valuation.

3 active signals
Top-quintile 6-month momentum Filed revenue acceleration EPS surprise beat
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Xometry, Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 48Quality 29Growth 70Momentum 76Risk / liquidity 62

Is Xometry, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Quality is weaker than peers. Operating margin is only around the 29th percentile. TTM ROE is about -18.4%.

  • Valuation is cheaper than most peers. TTM P/E is in the 4th percentile, lower than most liquid US common stocks.

  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 60th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $86.4M.

  • Signals are active now. Top-quintile 6-month momentum, Filed revenue acceleration, EPS surprise beat currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 86.22448979591837%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

11 historical occurrences (since 2022-09-01)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 40%, Sample 10, Median -4.1%, Excess +1%, Beat mkt rate 40%；60-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 8, Median +24.58%, Excess +11.41%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 8, Median -1.15%, Excess -2.19%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +7.49%

20-day +1.34%
60-day +17.96%
120-day +7.49%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
40%
62.5%
50%
Sample
10
8
8
Median
-4.1%
+24.58%
-1.15%
Excess
+1%
+11.41%
-2.19%
Beat mkt rate
40%
62.5%
50%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.49%, lagged the market by 2.19 pts; win rate 50%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 29.101619002805812%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

10 historical occurrences (since 2022-05-12)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 70%, Sample 10, Median +7.6%, Excess +4.1%, Beat mkt rate 70%；60-day: Win 80%, Sample 10, Median +15.43%, Excess +18.5%, Beat mkt rate 70%；120-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 8, Median +24.19%, Excess +17.59%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%

120 days after: historical avg +23.58%

20-day +5.09%
60-day +23.14%
120-day +23.58%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
70%
80%
62.5%
Sample
10
10
8
Median
+7.6%
+15.43%
+24.19%
Excess
+4.1%
+18.5%
+17.59%
Beat mkt rate
70%
70%
62.5%

Over 8 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 23.58%, beat the market by 17.59 pts; win rate 62.5%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 9.890109890109887%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

13 historical occurrences (since 2022-05-11)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 12, Median +7.35%, Excess +9.27%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%；60-day: Win 75%, Sample 12, Median +17.24%, Excess +26.12%, Beat mkt rate 75%；120-day: Win 80%, Sample 10, Median +35.9%, Excess +30.25%, Beat mkt rate 70%

120 days after: historical avg +36.99%

20-day +9.84%
60-day +29.67%
120-day +36.99%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
66.7%
75%
80%
Sample
12
12
10
Median
+7.35%
+17.24%
+35.9%
Excess
+9.27%
+26.12%
+30.25%
Beat mkt rate
66.7%
75%
70%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 36.99%, beat the market by 30.25 pts; win rate 80%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,056 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.18%, a 58.1% positive-return rate, and +2.82 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

8 times historically; 60-day forward avg -14.34%, win rate 28.6%, beating the market by -16.16 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.