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NCNO nCino, Inc.

Technology

steady quality, premium valuation.

Quality
Above avg
Valuation
Expensive
Key signals
Top-quintile 6-month momentum EPS surprise beat
23.12

Is nCino, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Quality is above average. Operating margin sits near the 52th percentile. TTM ROE is about 3.6%.

  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 94th percentile, above most peers.

  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 55th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $57.7M.

  • Signals are active now. Top-quintile 6-month momentum, EPS surprise beat currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add nCino, Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 82.91032148900169%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

7 historical occurrences (since 2021-11-01)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 16.7%, Sample 6, Median -8.68%, Excess -8.83%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%；60-day: Win 16.7%, Sample 6, Median -16.68%, Excess -16.91%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%；120-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 6, Median -23.7%, Excess -25.18%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%

120 days after: historical avg -21.89%

20-day -9.21%
60-day -16.84%
120-day -21.89%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
16.7%
16.7%
33.3%
Sample
6
6
6
Median
-8.68%
-16.68%
-23.7%
Excess
-8.83%
-16.91%
-25.18%
Beat mkt rate
16.7%
16.7%
16.7%

Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 21.89%, lagged the market by 25.18 pts; win rate 33.3%.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 12.86681715575621%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

19 historical occurrences (since 2020-09-09)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 38.9%, Sample 18, Median -0.58%, Excess +0.2%, Beat mkt rate 50%；60-day: Win 44.4%, Sample 18, Median -0.54%, Excess -6.95%, Beat mkt rate 22.2%；120-day: Win 35.3%, Sample 17, Median -6.16%, Excess -16.78%, Beat mkt rate 17.6%

120 days after: historical avg -10.56%

20-day +0.82%
60-day -2.93%
120-day -10.56%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
38.9%
44.4%
35.3%
Sample
18
18
17
Median
-0.58%
-0.54%
-6.16%
Excess
+0.2%
-6.95%
-16.78%
Beat mkt rate
50%
22.2%
17.6%

Over 17 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 10.56%, lagged the market by 16.78 pts; win rate 35.3%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 97,896 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.24%, a 58.1% positive-return rate, and +2.89 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

5 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.77%, win rate 40%, beating the market by +1.72 pts on average.

Continue researching nCino, Inc. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.