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BKH Black Hills Corporation

Utilities

76.08

Close 10/9

P/E
19.2
P/B
1.5
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Is Black Hills Corporation a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-09

Momentum: Good, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Valuation Neutral Price / book is Fair, but Free-cash-flow yield is Average.
TTM P/E 19.21 49th percentile Fair
Price / book 1.47 48th percentile Fair
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -5.26 29th percentile Average
Quality Neutral Operating margin, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 7.58 58th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 23.79 77th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) -13.27 24th percentile Average
Growth Neutral Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY is Good, but Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 2.51 41th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -0.25 56th percentile Good
Momentum Good All 2 indicators are Good.
60-day return (%) 1.32 68th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 19.49 73th percentile Good
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 97,674,729 87th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 22.66 25th percentile Good

Black Hills Corporation (BKH) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-09

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Black Hills Corporation (BKH) peers and tracking

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Black Hills Corporation (BKH) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

21 historical occurrences (since 2017-02-21)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 75%, Sample 20, Median +2.22%, Excess +2.64%, Beat mkt rate 65%；60-day: Win 55%, Sample 20, Median +1.03%, Excess -0.22%, Beat mkt rate 45%；120-day: Win 60%, Sample 20, Median +2.05%, Excess -0.4%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +1.46%

20-day +2.11%
60-day +0.72%
120-day +1.46%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
75%
55%
60%
Sample
20
20
20
Median
+2.22%
+1.03%
+2.05%
Excess
+2.64%
-0.22%
-0.4%
Beat mkt rate
65%
45%
50%

Over 20 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.46%, lagged the market by 0.4 pts; win rate 60%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 422+11.2% +12.4% 77.3% -8.9%
20-40 620+12% +16% 78.5% -4.5%
40-60 336+1.7% +8.1% 64.9% -7.1%
60-80 You are here50-15.8% -16.5% 0% -20.6%
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 19.21, placing it in the 75.6 own-history percentile, inside the 60-80 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
+8.2%
Win rate 80.6% Excess -0.8%
355d
+1.3%
Win rate 56.5% Excess -3.2%
471d
Now
-7.8%
Win rate 37.9% Excess -8.9%
66d
60-day momentum down
+5.2%
Win rate 61.2% Excess -4.4%
407d
+4.2%
Win rate 69% Excess -7.8%
245d
Insufficient data
(4d)

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top third) × 60-day momentum up”: across 66 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 7.8%, win rate 37.9%, lagged the market by 8.9%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,394 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.43%, a 58.5% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.69%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +4.34 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.42%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by +3.5 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.19%, win rate 94.1%, beating the market by +3.34 pts on average.

Continue researching Black Hills Corporation with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.