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BTE Baytex Energy Corp.

Energy

5.31

Close 10/16

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Is Baytex Energy Corp. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-16

Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good; Growth: Weak.

Quality Good FCF margin, TTM is Top, but ROE, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) -33.3 20th percentile Average
Operating margin, TTM (%) 34.22 86th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 55.68 93th percentile Top
Growth Weak All 2 indicators are Lagging.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) -85.45 6th percentile Lagging
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -295.04 7th percentile Lagging
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 21.34 91th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 123.18 97th percentile Top
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 88,097,283 86th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 38.92 44th percentile Good

Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) today

2 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-16

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) peers and tracking

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Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

12 historical occurrences (since 2018-04-17)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 72.7%, Sample 11, Median +7.72%, Excess +11.89%, Beat mkt rate 72.7%；60-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 11, Median +18.11%, Excess +17.56%, Beat mkt rate 72.7%；120-day: Win 81.8%, Sample 11, Median +20.62%, Excess +40.56%, Beat mkt rate 81.8%

120 days after: historical avg +41.3%

20-day +10.79%
60-day +16.67%
120-day +41.3%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
72.7%
63.6%
81.8%
Sample
11
11
11
Median
+7.72%
+18.11%
+20.62%
Excess
+11.89%
+17.56%
+40.56%
Beat mkt rate
72.7%
72.7%
81.8%

Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 41.3%, beat the market by 40.56 pts; win rate 81.8%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 86.25%

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

16 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-05)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 15, Median -8.35%, Excess -2.07%, Beat mkt rate 40%；60-day: Win 35.7%, Sample 14, Median -12.12%, Excess -1.61%, Beat mkt rate 35.7%；120-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 14, Median -15%, Excess +21.99%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

120 days after: historical avg +29.29%

20-day -1.52%
60-day +1.8%
120-day +29.29%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
33.3%
35.7%
42.9%
Sample
15
14
14
Median
-8.35%
-12.12%
-15%
Excess
-2.07%
-1.61%
+21.99%
Beat mkt rate
40%
35.7%
42.9%

Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 29.29%, beat the market by 21.99 pts; win rate 42.9%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,524 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.48%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.13 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg -9.43%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by -5.97 pts on average.

Continue researching Baytex Energy Corp. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
  • Financial statements are reported in CAD. Operating margin, ROE and revenue growth are computed within CAD; no figure divides the USD share price by CAD amounts.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.