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CYTK

Cytokinetics, Incorporated Healthcare As of 2026-06-18
Quality Weak
Valuation Cheaper
Risk Moderate
Active signals Active 52-week adjusted-price high Filed revenue acceleration
78.78 Close (USD)
+31.26% 60-day
  • Quality is weaker than peers. Operating margin is only around the 6th percentile. TTM ROE is about 100.4%.
  • Valuation is cheaper than most peers. TTM P/E is in the 16th percentile, lower than most liquid US common stocks.
  • Recent volatility is moderate. 60-day annualized volatility is near the 68th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $141.4M.
  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Filed revenue acceleration currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Factor profile

Factor radar Good Valuation
70
ValuationQualityGrowthMomentumRisk / liquidity

Valuation

Indicators in this group are ranked by market percentile; lower valuation and volatility are better.

70 Good
TTM P/E -11.52
Cheap
Price / book -11.75
Cheap
Free-cash-flow yield (%) -5.65
Average

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

21 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-04)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 30%, Sample 20, Median -8.46%, Excess -3.41%, Beat mkt rate 35%；60-day: Win 57.9%, Sample 19, Median +2.2%, Excess +2.01%, Beat mkt rate 52.6%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 18, Median +1.06%, Excess -4.31%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg -0.57%

20-day -4.06%
60-day +4.01%
120-day -0.57%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
30%
57.9%
50%
Sample
20
19
18
Median
-8.46%
+2.2%
+1.06%
Excess
-3.41%
+2.01%
-4.31%
Beat mkt rate
35%
52.6%
50%

Over 18 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 0.57%, lagged the market by 4.31 pts; win rate 50%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 450.60360079092516%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

14 historical occurrences (since 2019-03-07)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 14, Median +1.5%, Excess +4.78%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%；60-day: Win 76.9%, Sample 13, Median +18.04%, Excess +14.84%, Beat mkt rate 69.2%；120-day: Win 69.2%, Sample 13, Median +44.24%, Excess +27.84%, Beat mkt rate 61.5%

120 days after: historical avg +35.41%

20-day +7.21%
60-day +18.69%
120-day +35.41%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
57.1%
76.9%
69.2%
Sample
14
13
13
Median
+1.5%
+18.04%
+44.24%
Excess
+4.78%
+14.84%
+27.84%
Beat mkt rate
42.9%
69.2%
61.5%

Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 35.41%, beat the market by 27.84 pts; win rate 69.2%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 94,737 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.40%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.10 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

29 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.61%, win rate 79.3%, beating the market by +7.66 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +15.48%, win rate 76.9%, beating the market by +11.55 pts on average.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.