Top-quintile 6-month momentum
Active · now 85.9322033898305% The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.
16 historical occurrences (since 2019-04-04)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 16, Median +1%, Excess -2.65%, Beat mkt rate 56.2%;60-day: Win 26.7%, Sample 15, Median -10.29%, Excess -13.1%, Beat mkt rate 26.7%;120-day: Win 40%, Sample 15, Median -9.74%, Excess -12.45%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg -9.4%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
26.7%
40%
Sample
16
15
15
Median
+1%
-10.29%
-9.74%
Excess
-2.65%
-13.1%
-12.45%
Beat mkt rate
56.2%
26.7%
33.3%
Over 15 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 9.4%, lagged the market by 12.45 pts; win rate 40%.
EPS surprise beat
Active · now 6.422018348623839% Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.
25 historical occurrences (since 2018-06-07)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 24, Median -5.08%, Excess -2.32%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%;60-day: Win 37.5%, Sample 24, Median -6.06%, Excess -0.38%, Beat mkt rate 29.2%;120-day: Win 50%, Sample 24, Median -2.08%, Excess +4.57%, Beat mkt rate 41.7%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg +13.55%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
33.3%
37.5%
50%
Sample
24
24
24
Median
-5.08%
-6.06%
-2.08%
Excess
-2.32%
-0.38%
+4.57%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
29.2%
41.7%
Over 24 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 13.55%, beat the market by 4.57 pts; win rate 50%.