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FRPT Freshpet, Inc.

Consumer Defensive

64.39 USD 1D -0.43 -0.66% Close 11/6
Since 2024-12-06 -58.0%

Close 11/6

Open
64.27
High
64.64
Low
63.14
Prev close
64.82
Volume
1.04M
Amplitude
2.31%
P/E
25.7
P/B
2.5
Revenue YoY (TTM)
+11.8%
52W 46.45 86.00
FinLab Studio

From Freshpet, Inc. to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of Freshpet, Inc. across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like Freshpet, Inc.

Is Freshpet, Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-11-05

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good; Valuation: Pricey.

Valuation Pricey Free-cash-flow yield is Good, but Price / book is Pricey.
TTM P/E 25.7 64th percentile · Pricey
Price / book 2.6 68th percentile · Pricey
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 5.6 68th percentile · Good
US Stock Backtest in Python: Price-to-Book Ratio StrategyQuality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 10.7 67th percentile · Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 9.4 54th percentile · Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 14.5 68th percentile · Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Good All 2 indicators are Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 11.8 64th percentile · Good
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) 10.0 61th percentile · Good
Momentum Neutral 240-day return is Good, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -10.4 45th percentile · Average
240-day return (%) 22.8 72th percentile · Good
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 74,288,548.0 84th percentile · Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 39.0 42th percentile · Good
Factor Investing Explained: 10 Classic Factors in US Stocks

Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-11-05

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add Freshpet, Inc. to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

EPS surprise beat

Active · now 49.9%

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

PEAD: Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Backtest
18 historical occurrences (since 2016-03-09)

Average forward return after EPS surprise beat

20-day: Win 70.6%, Sample 17, Median +4.1%, Excess +2.4%, Beat mkt rate 64.7%

60-day: Win 76.5%, Sample 17, Median +10.4%, Excess +6.2%, Beat mkt rate 64.7%

120-day: Win 87.5%, Sample 16, Median +23.9%, Excess +12.4%, Beat mkt rate 68.8%

120 days after: historical avg +22.0%

20-day +4.5%
60-day +11.1%
120-day +22.0%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
70.6%
76.5%
87.5%
Sample
17
17
16
Median
+4.1%
+10.4%
+23.9%
Excess
+2.4%
+6.2%
+12.4%
Beat mkt rate
64.7%
64.7%
68.8%

Over 16 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 22.0%, beat the market by 12.4 pts; win rate 87.5%.

Valuation regime and forward returns

Daily TTM P/E is converted into an expanding own-history percentile, then grouped into five valuation regimes. Forward returns use adjusted prices over the next 240 trading days.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 0Insufficient data
20-40 Now0Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 0Insufficient data

Quarterly EPS is aligned by SEC filing date before it is forward-filled to daily prices. The expanding percentile uses only information available up to each day.

Current TTM P/E is about 25.72, placing it in the 22.3 own-history percentile, inside the 20-40 bucket.

More history: Valuation × momentum analogs, Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Valuation × momentum analogs

Each historical day is grouped by own-history P/E tercile and 60-day momentum direction, then tested for the next 120-trading-day adjusted return.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom third)
Middle
Expensive (own-history top third)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
60-day momentum down
Now
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)
Insufficient data
(0d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 100,388 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.36%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.02 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.0%, win rate 78.6%, beating the market by +7.5 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest

31 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.8%, win rate 76.7%, beating the market by +6.4 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.6%, win rate 60.0%, beating the market by +1.6 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.