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GGB Gerdau S.A.

Basic Materials

5.12

Close 10/9

Open
5.01
High
5.15
Low
5.01
Prev close
4.92
Volume
16M
52W 3.13 5.48
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Is Gerdau S.A. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-09

Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 4.18 50th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 9.93 56th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 5.07 51th percentile Good
Growth Neutral Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 0.64 36th percentile Average
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 9.6 82th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 53.5 89th percentile Top
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 66,952,007 83th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 38.15 43th percentile Good

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-09

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Gerdau S.A. (GGB) peers and tracking

Watchlist

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Gerdau S.A. (GGB) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

14 historical occurrences (since 2017-02-16)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 30.8%, Sample 13, Median -3.53%, Excess -2.38%, Beat mkt rate 30.8%；60-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -1.04%, Excess -5.87%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%；120-day: Win 40%, Sample 10, Median -10.8%, Excess -8.69%, Beat mkt rate 30%

120 days after: historical avg -1.95%

20-day -1.46%
60-day -6.71%
120-day -1.95%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
30.8%
45.5%
40%
Sample
13
11
10
Median
-3.53%
-1.04%
-10.8%
Excess
-2.38%
-5.87%
-8.69%
Beat mkt rate
30.8%
45.5%
30%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.95%, lagged the market by 8.69 pts; win rate 40%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,394 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.23%, a 57.8% positive-return rate, and +2.88 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

23 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.52%, win rate 47.6%, beating the market by -4.05 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.44%, win rate 57.1%, beating the market by +4.91 pts on average.

Continue researching Gerdau S.A. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
  • This is an American depositary receipt (ADR). The data does not say how many ordinary shares each ADR represents, so per-share and market-value metrics (P/E, price/book, free-cash-flow yield, EPS growth and earnings surprises) are not computed.
  • ADRs listed on NYSE or NASDAQ are covered as a separate group selected by dollar volume, in addition to the common-stock universe; the 6-month momentum signal ranks each ADR against the liquid US common stocks.
  • Financial statements are reported in BRL. Operating margin, ROE and revenue growth are computed within BRL; no figure divides the USD share price by BRL amounts.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.