EPS surprise beat
Active · now 50.01% Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.
16 historical occurrences (since 2016-12-21)
Average forward return after EPS surprise beat。20-day: Win 46.7%, Sample 15, Median -1.32%, Excess -3.19%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%;60-day: Win 50%, Sample 14, Median +1.13%, Excess -8.02%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%;120-day: Win 64.3%, Sample 14, Median +6.48%, Excess -4.3%, Beat mkt rate 35.7%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg +3.97%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
46.7%
50%
64.3%
Sample
15
14
14
Median
-1.32%
+1.13%
+6.48%
Excess
-3.19%
-8.02%
-4.3%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
42.9%
35.7%
Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.97%, lagged the market by 4.3 pts; win rate 64.3%.