20% below its peak
Active · now -44.62%Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
ETF
Close 10/9
As of 2026-10-09
Momentum: Good; Risk / liquidity: Weak.
Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.
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Each active condition is tested against this ETF’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.
Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
Adjusted close crosses from below to above its 200-day moving average; repeated crosses within 20 days count once.
120 days after: historical avg +3.17%
Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.17%, beat the market by 0.07 pts; win rate 52.2%.
Since 2016-01-04, 47.0% of 2,456 one-year holding periods ended with a gain; the median one-year return was -2.3%. Over three-year holding periods, 47.2% of 1,952 ended with a gain (median -6.1%).
A holding period starts on every trading day, so periods overlap; they describe the historical distribution rather than independent outcomes.
Inactive signals still show this ETF’s historical forward-return distribution for context.
Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
15 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.98%, win rate 33.3%, beating the market by -6.94 pts on average.
The ETF ranks in the top 20% of liquid US-listed ETFs by 126-day adjusted return.
25 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.82%, win rate 62.5%, beating the market by +3.7 pts on average.
Continue researching VanEck Oil Services ETF with the evidence above.
Continue in Studio ↗This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.