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ROKU

Roku, Inc. Communication Services As of 2026-06-18
Quality Weak
Valuation Expensive
Risk High vol
Active signals Active 52-week adjusted-price high Filed revenue acceleration
138.07 Close (USD)
+44.44% 60-day
  • Quality is weaker than peers. Operating margin is only around the 39th percentile. TTM ROE is about 7.5%.
  • Valuation is expensive. TTM P/E is in the 96th percentile, above most peers.
  • Recent volatility is elevated. 60-day annualized volatility is in the 71th percentile. Average 20-day dollar volume is about $843.3M.
  • Signals are active now. 52-week adjusted-price high, Filed revenue acceleration currently holds; the tables below show what followed in this stock’s own history.

Factor profile

Factor radar Weak Valuation
25
ValuationQualityGrowthMomentumRisk / liquidity

Valuation

Indicators in this group are ranked by market percentile; lower valuation and volatility are better.

25 Weak
TTM P/E 103.81
Expensive
Price / book 7.62
Expensive
Free-cash-flow yield (%) 3.2
Good

Historical evidence

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

15 historical occurrences (since 2018-09-27)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 53.3%, Sample 15, Median +5.48%, Excess +1.29%, Beat mkt rate 53.3%；60-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 14, Median -3.24%, Excess +1.88%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%；120-day: Win 57.1%, Sample 14, Median +7.41%, Excess +10.23%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +19.2%

20-day +1.36%
60-day +2.75%
120-day +19.2%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
53.3%
42.9%
57.1%
Sample
15
14
14
Median
+5.48%
-3.24%
+7.41%
Excess
+1.29%
+1.88%
+10.23%
Beat mkt rate
53.3%
42.9%
50%

Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 19.2%, beat the market by 10.23 pts; win rate 57.1%.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 16.776577038033658%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

17 historical occurrences (since 2018-08-10)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 58.8%, Sample 17, Median +4.41%, Excess +1.16%, Beat mkt rate 47.1%；60-day: Win 56.2%, Sample 16, Median +7.79%, Excess +5.71%, Beat mkt rate 56.2%；120-day: Win 56.2%, Sample 16, Median +15.89%, Excess +10.75%, Beat mkt rate 56.2%

120 days after: historical avg +18.31%

20-day +2.72%
60-day +10.56%
120-day +18.31%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58.8%
56.2%
56.2%
Sample
17
16
16
Median
+4.41%
+7.79%
+15.89%
Excess
+1.16%
+5.71%
+10.75%
Beat mkt rate
47.1%
56.2%
56.2%

Over 16 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 18.31%, beat the market by 10.75 pts; win rate 56.2%.

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 94,737 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.40%, a 58.3% positive-return rate, and +3.10 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

21 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.56%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +5.39 pts on average.

EPS surprise beat

Pending

Reported EPS beat consensus estimate by at least 5%; event date is the earnings-surprise timestamp.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +11.15%, win rate 57.7%, beating the market by +8.66 pts on average.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.