20% below its peak
Active · now -54.01%Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
Average forward return after 20% below its peak
20-day: Win 83.3%, Sample 12, Median +6.97%, Excess +3.66%, Beat mkt rate 75%
60-day: Win 83.3%, Sample 12, Median +12.44%, Excess +5.85%, Beat mkt rate 75%
120-day: Win 83.3%, Sample 12, Median +15.66%, Excess +8.25%, Beat mkt rate 58.3%
120 days after: historical avg +19.9%
Over 12 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 19.9%, beat the market by 8.25 pts; win rate 83.3%.