52-week adjusted-price high
Active Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
15 historical occurrences (since 2017-02-10)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 14, Median -3.35%, Excess -2.08%, Beat mkt rate 35.7%;60-day: Win 35.7%, Sample 14, Median -3.17%, Excess -4.06%, Beat mkt rate 35.7%;120-day: Win 50%, Sample 14, Median -1.07%, Excess -9.05%, Beat mkt rate 21.4%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg -1.87%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
42.9%
35.7%
50%
Sample
14
14
14
Median
-3.35%
-3.17%
-1.07%
Excess
-2.08%
-4.06%
-9.05%
Beat mkt rate
35.7%
35.7%
21.4%
Over 14 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.87%, lagged the market by 9.05 pts; win rate 50%.