20% below its peak
Active · now -36.67% Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
11 historical occurrences (since 2018-06-26)
Average forward return after 20% below its peak。20-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 11, Median +0.78%, Excess -2.12%, Beat mkt rate 27.3%;60-day: Win 27.3%, Sample 11, Median -5.52%, Excess -5.88%, Beat mkt rate 18.2%;120-day: Win 27.3%, Sample 11, Median -2.85%, Excess -7.78%, Beat mkt rate 27.3%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg -1.74%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.5%
27.3%
27.3%
Sample
11
11
11
Median
+0.78%
-5.52%
-2.85%
Excess
-2.12%
-5.88%
-7.78%
Beat mkt rate
27.3%
18.2%
27.3%
Over 11 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.74%, lagged the market by 7.78 pts; win rate 27.3%.