20% below its peak
Active · now -79.21% Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
6 historical occurrences (since 2021-01-11)
Average forward return after 20% below its peak。20-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 6, Median -12.95%, Excess +13.41%, Beat mkt rate 33.3%;60-day: Win 16.7%, Sample 6, Median -39.59%, Excess -28.68%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%;120-day: Win 16.7%, Sample 6, Median -47.1%, Excess -49.9%, Beat mkt rate 16.7%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg -40.26%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
33.3%
16.7%
16.7%
Sample
6
6
6
Median
-12.95%
-39.59%
-47.1%
Excess
+13.41%
-28.68%
-49.9%
Beat mkt rate
33.3%
16.7%
16.7%
Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 40.26%, lagged the market by 49.9 pts; win rate 16.7%.