20% below its peak
Active · now -48.18% Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
7 historical occurrences (since 2016-02-11)
Average forward return after 20% below its peak。20-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 7, Median +7.98%, Excess +0.6%, Beat mkt rate 71.4%;60-day: Win 85.7%, Sample 7, Median +11.07%, Excess +2.83%, Beat mkt rate 57.1%;120-day: Win 85.7%, Sample 7, Median +28.19%, Excess +12.44%, Beat mkt rate 71.4%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg +30.1%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
71.4%
85.7%
85.7%
Sample
7
7
7
Median
+7.98%
+11.07%
+28.19%
Excess
+0.6%
+2.83%
+12.44%
Beat mkt rate
71.4%
57.1%
71.4%
Over 7 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 30.1%, beat the market by 12.44 pts; win rate 85.7%.