20% below its peak
Active · now -26.11%Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
Average forward return after 20% below its peak
20-day: Win 50%, Sample 14, Median +1.03%, Excess -2.05%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%
60-day: Win 35.7%, Sample 14, Median -4.66%, Excess -3.3%, Beat mkt rate 28.6%
120-day: Win 38.5%, Sample 13, Median -2.29%, Excess -0.52%, Beat mkt rate 30.8%
120 days after: historical avg +6.46%
Over 13 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.46%, lagged the market by 0.52 pts; win rate 38.5%.