52-week adjusted-price high
Active Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
15 historical occurrences (since 2021-10-27)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 92.9%, Sample 14, Median +0.4%, Excess -1.67%, Beat mkt rate 35.7%;60-day: Win 100%, Sample 14, Median +1.46%, Excess -4.26%, Beat mkt rate 14.3%;120-day: Win 100%, Sample 12, Median +3%, Excess -7.1%, Beat mkt rate 25%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg +2.75%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
92.9%
100%
100%
Sample
14
14
12
Median
+0.4%
+1.46%
+3%
Excess
-1.67%
-4.26%
-7.1%
Beat mkt rate
35.7%
14.3%
25%
Over 12 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.75%, lagged the market by 7.1 pts; win rate 100%.