20% below its peak
Active · now -73.22% Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
6 historical occurrences (since 2016-02-11)
Average forward return after 20% below its peak。20-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 6, Median +1.28%, Excess +0.99%, Beat mkt rate 50%;60-day: Win 33.3%, Sample 6, Median -5.93%, Excess -1.17%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%;120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 6, Median +24.46%, Excess +4.77%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg +11.88%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Sample
6
6
6
Median
+1.28%
-5.93%
+24.46%
Excess
+0.99%
-1.17%
+4.77%
Beat mkt rate
50%
66.7%
66.7%
Over 6 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 11.88%, beat the market by 4.77 pts; win rate 66.7%.