52-week adjusted-price high
Active Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
15 historical occurrences (since 2017-12-15)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 14, Median -1.97%, Excess -2.99%, Beat mkt rate 35.7%;60-day: Win 53.8%, Sample 13, Median +0.99%, Excess +3.82%, Beat mkt rate 53.8%;120-day: Win 58.3%, Sample 12, Median +5.8%, Excess +6.09%, Beat mkt rate 50%
Stock avg forward return Market (same period)
120 days after: historical avg +6.83%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
42.9%
53.8%
58.3%
Sample
14
13
12
Median
-1.97%
+0.99%
+5.8%
Excess
-2.99%
+3.82%
+6.09%
Beat mkt rate
35.7%
53.8%
50%
Over 12 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.83%, beat the market by 6.09 pts; win rate 58.3%.