20% below its peak
Active · now -34.07%Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
ETF
Close 10/9
As of 2026-10-09
Momentum: Weak.
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Each active condition is tested against this ETF’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.
Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
Since 2016-01-04, 43.2% of 2,456 one-year holding periods ended with a gain; the median one-year return was -1.6%. Over three-year holding periods, 53.7% of 1,952 ended with a gain (median +1.4%).
A holding period starts on every trading day, so periods overlap; they describe the historical distribution rather than independent outcomes.
Inactive signals still show this ETF’s historical forward-return distribution for context.
Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.
11 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.75%, win rate 54.5%, beating the market by -2.83 pts on average.
Adjusted close crosses from below to above its 200-day moving average; repeated crosses within 20 days count once.
29 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.21%, win rate 31%, beating the market by -5.71 pts on average.
The ETF ranks in the top 20% of liquid US-listed ETFs by 126-day adjusted return.
8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.23%, win rate 75%, beating the market by +0.02 pts on average.
Continue researching iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF with the evidence above.
Continue in Studio ↗This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.