Skip to main content

UCO ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil

ETF

56.81

Close 10/9

52W 31.52 56.81
Loading candles…

Price and fund-flow snapshot

As of 2026-10-09

Momentum: Strong; Risk / liquidity: Weak.

Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 45.11 98th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 164.11 98th percentile Top
Risk / liquidity Weak 20-day dollar volume is Average; Distance from peak is Lagging.
60-day annualized volatility (%) 59.25 88th percentile Lagging
Distance from peak (%) -76.46 10th percentile Lagging
20-day dollar volume 132,071,656 24th percentile Average

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO) today

3 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-09

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO) peers and tracking

Watchlist

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this ETF’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

12 historical occurrences (since 2017-12-29)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 12, Median +9.35%, Excess +7.69%, Beat mkt rate 66.7%；60-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 11, Median -3.29%, Excess +0.91%, Beat mkt rate 36.4%；120-day: Win 60%, Sample 10, Median +20.35%, Excess +11.46%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +13.18%

20-day +7.4%
60-day +2.49%
120-day +13.18%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
66.7%
45.5%
60%
Sample
12
11
10
Median
+9.35%
-3.29%
+20.35%
Excess
+7.69%
+0.91%
+11.46%
Beat mkt rate
66.7%
36.4%
50%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 13.18%, beat the market by 11.46 pts; win rate 60%.

20% below its peak

Active · now -76.46%

Adjusted close first falls 20% or more below its highest level so far; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

10 historical occurrences (since 2016-01-08)
Average forward return after 20% below its peak。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median -8.13%, Excess -5.47%, Beat mkt rate 40%；60-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median +0.27%, Excess -1.9%, Beat mkt rate 40%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median -0.65%, Excess -7.18%, Beat mkt rate 40%

120 days after: historical avg -1.16%

20-day -5.64%
60-day +1.09%
120-day -1.16%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
50%
50%
Sample
10
10
10
Median
-8.13%
+0.27%
-0.65%
Excess
-5.47%
-1.9%
-7.18%
Beat mkt rate
40%
40%
40%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 1.16%, lagged the market by 7.18 pts; win rate 50%.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Active · now 94.55%

The ETF ranks in the top 20% of liquid US-listed ETFs by 126-day adjusted return.

25 historical occurrences (since 2016-07-12)
Average forward return after Top-quintile 6-month momentum。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 24, Median +0.51%, Excess -0.36%, Beat mkt rate 45.8%；60-day: Win 50%, Sample 24, Median +4.63%, Excess +5.44%, Beat mkt rate 50%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 24, Median +1.02%, Excess +9.67%, Beat mkt rate 37.5%

120 days after: historical avg +17.58%

20-day +0.4%
60-day +8.47%
120-day +17.58%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
50%
50%
Sample
24
24
24
Median
+0.51%
+4.63%
+1.02%
Excess
-0.36%
+5.44%
+9.67%
Beat mkt rate
45.8%
50%
37.5%

Over 24 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 17.58%, beat the market by 9.67 pts; win rate 50%.

More history: Holding-period returns in its own history, Signals not active now

Holding-period returns in its own history

Since 2016-01-04, 47.4% of 2,448 one-year holding periods ended with a gain; the median one-year return was -3.2%. Over three-year holding periods, 36.6% of 1,944 ended with a gain (median -29.9%).

A holding period starts on every trading day, so periods overlap; they describe the historical distribution rather than independent outcomes.

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show this ETF’s historical forward-return distribution for context.

Back above the 200-day average

Pending

Adjusted close crosses from below to above its 200-day moving average; repeated crosses within 20 days count once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.1%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -2.74 pts on average.

Continue researching ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil with the evidence above.

Continue in Studio ↗

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_fund_price:adj_close (finlab data.set_market('us_fund')), adjusted for splits and for distributions where the data includes them.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC, the S&P 500 price index without dividends, as the benchmark.
  • Percentiles and the 6-month momentum signal compare against the most liquid US-listed ETFs by 20-day dollar volume; mutual funds are excluded.
  • Category labels come from the fund data where it provides one (bond, income, crypto) and from the fund name for leveraged, inverse and commodity ETFs.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
  • This ETF seeks a multiple of its index’s daily return, or the inverse of it, and resets that exposure every day. Over periods longer than a day its return compounds the daily moves and can differ substantially from that multiple of the index’s return, more so when the index is volatile.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.