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00625K

富邦上証+R Other Securities As of 2026-07-28 Updated daily after market close

no active signal today.

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估值 50品質 50成長 50動能 50籌碼 50

Is 富邦上証+R a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • 外資近期中性。外資近 20 日買賣超大致持平。

Chip flow

Bullish +0.40
BearishNeutralBullish

Mixed flow — bullish

  • Mixed flow — bullish
  • 永豐金證券 holds 40 lots
  • sellers have 0 lots left

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -2% · branches to 2026-06-12· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 永豐金證券 has accumulated 40 lots since the start (sold 2%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基 peaked at 37 lots, has sold 30%, 26 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.00pp, mid holders +0, retail -0.01pp — little change.
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
永豐金證券元大-新竹經國
Distributing
凱基
Desks
own scale
富邦-內湖富邦-建國
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 永豐金證券 +40
    sold 2%· still adding
  • 元大-新竹經國 +4
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 凱基 26 left
    sold 30%· paused recently

Desks

  • 富邦-內湖 -35
    unclassified
  • 富邦-建國 -35
    unclassified
Still selling 0 lots
Recent buy/sell force +45 absorbed / 0 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月，每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件；這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬，等權平均為 6.99%，平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點，在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬，再對月份平均；超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號（歷史統計供參）

這些訊號現在沒有發生，列出歷史樣本以供對照

股價創 252 日新高（突破日）

Pending

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg -3.19%, win rate 44.4%, beating the market by -5.5 pts on average.

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資（不含自營商）買賣超連續 5 日為正，事件日為第 5 日；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價（etl:adj_close）計算，已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數（含息）為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算，不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊，統計僅描述歷史分布，樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途，不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險，過去績效不代表未來表現，交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。