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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 00741B 富邦全球非投等債. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=00741B

00741B

富邦全球非投等債 Other Securities As of 2026-07-28 Updated daily after market close

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1 active signal
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估值 50品質 50成長 50動能 62籌碼 21

Is 富邦全球非投等債 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • 外資近期偏賣。外資近 20 日買賣超約佔成交量 -4.3%(賣超)。

Chip flow

Bullish +0.93
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 凱基-台北 holds 1,856 lots
  • sellers have 36 lots left, ~25 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -2% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 凱基-台北 has accumulated 1,856 lots since the start (sold 1%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基 peaked at 93 lots, has sold 87%, 12 left, ~5 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +7.58pp, mid holders -1, retail -4.28pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -69 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
凱基-台北元大-龍潭中國信託-永康永豐金-竹北凱基-湖口群益金鼎-古亭
Distributing
凱基元大-台北富邦-建國永豐金-敦南永豐金-台南富邦-北港
Desks
own scale
元大-八德中國信託永豐金證券元大-蘆洲
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 凱基-台北 +1,856
    sold 1%· still adding
  • 元大-龍潭 +111
    sold 3%
  • 中國信託-永康 +61
    sold 0%
  • 永豐金-竹北 +61
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-湖口 +60
    sold 0%
  • 群益金鼎-古亭 +57
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 凱基 12 left
    sold 87%· ~5 sessions to clear
  • 元大-台北 10 left
    sold 66%· ~25 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-建國 12 left
    sold 33%· ~20 sessions to clear
  • 永豐金-敦南 10 left
    sold 33%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-台南 8 left
    sold 47%· paused recently
  • 富邦-北港 2 left
    sold 82%· paused recently

Desks

  • 元大-八德 -333
    unclassified
  • 中國信託 -151
    unclassified
  • 永豐金證券 -149
    unclassified
  • 元大-蘆洲 -102
    unclassified
Still selling 36 lots ~25 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +395 absorbed / -37 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

目前正在發生的訊號

以下訊號在最近一筆資料中成立,附這檔股票自身歷史上每次出現後的前瞻報酬統計

股價創 252 日新高(突破日)

Active

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高;20 日內重複觸發只計一次

20 historical occurrences (since 2019-07-08)
Average forward return after 股價創 252 日新高(突破日)。20-day: Win 80%, Sample 20, Median +0.74%, Excess -1.25%, Beat mkt rate 45%;60-day: Win 68.4%, Sample 19, Median +0.65%, Excess -3.15%, Beat mkt rate 31.6%;120-day: Win 72.2%, Sample 18, Median +3.79%, Excess -10.02%, Beat mkt rate 27.8%

120 days after: historical avg +1.96%

20-day +0.77%
60-day +0.64%
120-day +1.96%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
80%
68.4%
72.2%
Sample
20
19
18
Median
+0.74%
+0.65%
+3.79%
Excess
-1.25%
-3.15%
-10.02%
Beat mkt rate
45%
31.6%
27.8%

Over 18 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.96%, lagged the market by 10.02 pts; win rate 72.2%.

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月,每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件;這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬,等權平均為 6.99%,平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點,在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬,再對月份平均;超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號(歷史統計供參)

這些訊號現在沒有發生,列出歷史樣本以供對照

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資(不含自營商)買賣超連續 5 日為正,事件日為第 5 日;20 日內重複觸發只計一次

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.71%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by -11.06 pts on average.

What does 富邦全球非投等債 do? Company profile

債券型 ETF / 固定收益(非投資等級/高收益債) 上櫃(櫃買中心 TPEx,債券型 ETF,代碼 00741B.TWO)

Overview

本商品為富邦證券投資信託股份有限公司(富邦投信)發行之債券型 ETF,非營運公司。發行人:富邦投信。基金成立日:2018/05/30;上櫃掛牌日:2018/06/08,於櫃買中心(TPEx)交易。追蹤指數:彭博優選1-5年非投資等級(中國除外)債券指數(Bloomberg Select 1-5 Year Non-Investment Grade ex-China Bond Index)。計價幣別:新台幣(TWD)。配息頻率:月配息。保管銀行:華南商業銀行。經理費:基金規模30億(含)以下0.4%/年、30億以上0.3%/年;保管費0.08%~0.16%/年(隨規模級距遞減)。基金規模約新台幣5億元(2026/06中旬,規模偏小)。風險報酬等級 RR3。為傘型基金「富邦全方位入息ETF傘型證券投資信託基金」之子基金。

Business

ETF 屬被動式追蹤型基金,並無一般營運公司之產品/營收結構;其「業務」即透過持有一籃子債券以貼近標的指數表現。投資標的:全球(主要為已開發市場、排除中國)非投資等級(高收益/俗稱垃圾債)公司債,並聚焦剩餘到期天期約 1-5 年之短中天期券種,藉以降低利率存續期間風險。商業模式:向投資人收取經理費與保管費,提供月配息現金流;收益來源為成分債票息與資本利得,折溢價透過實物/現金申購買回機制由參與券商套利收斂。年化配息殖利率約 6%~6.6%(隨市價與配息金額浮動,2.5 元/年參考值)。適合追求月配息與較短存續期高收益債曝險之投資人;主要風險為信用違約風險、利率風險、流動性與匯率風險(以新台幣計價但持有外幣債券)。

Outlook 2025–2028

(以下為產業環境推估,非個別保證)2025-2028 此類短天期非投等債 ETF 表現主要取決於:(1)美國聯準會利率路徑——若進入降息循環,短天期高收益債價格與再投資環境受惠,惟票息收益可能隨利率下行而走低;(2)信用利差與違約率——景氣放緩或衰退時高收益債違約率上升、利差走闊將壓抑淨值,景氣穩健則利差收斂有利總報酬;(3)台灣投資人對月配息債券 ETF 需求持續,有利規模穩定。本檔規模僅約 5 億元,相對偏小,須留意流動性、折溢價偏離與是否觸及清算下限等風險。成長動能有限(被動型固定收益商品),主要訴求為穩定月配息與較低利率存續期,而非資本增值。

Sources(7)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價(etl:adj_close)計算,已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數(含息)為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算,不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日,避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊,統計僅描述歷史分布,樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途,不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險,過去績效不代表未來表現,交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。