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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 00921 兆豐龍頭等權重. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=00921

00921

兆豐龍頭等權重 Domestic ETF As of 2026-07-28 Updated daily after market close

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估值 50品質 50成長 50動能 78籌碼 5

Price and fund-flow snapshot

  • 外資近期偏賣。外資近 20 日買賣超約佔成交量 -12.1%(賣超)。

Chip flow

Bullish +0.70
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 群益金鼎 holds 18,324 lots
  • sellers have 1,567 lots left, ~15 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +26% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 群益金鼎 has accumulated 18,324 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 4,243 lots, has sold 63%, 1,554 left, ~12 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +2.75pp, mid holders +1, retail -4.24pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -2,141 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
群益金鼎元大證券中國信託國泰證券台新-城中合庫-台南
Distributing
凱基-台北富邦證券第一金-光復元大-天母元大-復北土銀-和平
Desks
own scale
國泰-敦南國泰-板橋元富-城中新光
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 群益金鼎 +18,324
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大證券 +12,474
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 中國信託 +867
    sold 2%· still adding
  • 國泰證券 +214
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 台新-城中 +91
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 合庫-台南 +61
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 凱基-台北 1,554 left
    sold 63%· ~12 sessions to clear
  • 富邦證券 669 left
    sold 26%· paused recently
  • 第一金-光復 5 left
    sold 84%· paused recently
  • 元大-天母 4 left
    sold 79%· paused recently
  • 元大-復北 13 left
    sold 28%· paused recently
  • 土銀-和平 5 left
    sold 64%· ~6 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 國泰-敦南 -2,134
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 國泰-板橋 -672
    unclassified
  • 元富-城中 -626
    unclassified
  • 新光 -507
    unclassified
Still selling 1,567 lots ~15 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +2,189 absorbed / -1,285 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月,每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件;這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬,等權平均為 6.99%,平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點,在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬,再對月份平均;超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號(歷史統計供參)

這些訊號現在沒有發生,列出歷史樣本以供對照

股價創 252 日新高(突破日)

Pending

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高;20 日內重複觸發只計一次

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.35%, win rate 80%, beating the market by -6.5 pts on average.

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資(不含自營商)買賣超連續 5 日為正,事件日為第 5 日;20 日內重複觸發只計一次

19 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.14%, win rate 83.3%, beating the market by -7.09 pts on average.

What is 兆豐龍頭等權重? Tracked index, holdings and distributions

ETF(國內成分股股票型ETF,台股龍頭/高股息等權重主題) 上市(台灣證券交易所 TWSE)

Overview

發行機構為兆豐國際證券投資信託股份有限公司(兆豐投信,隸屬兆豐金控集團)。本基金於2023年1月成立(基金成立日約2023/01/04),並於2023年1月13日在台灣證券交易所掛牌上市,掛牌參考價為每受益權單位新臺幣15元,為台股市場第一檔以「等權重」為訴求的ETF。基金經理人為吳朋鴻。費用結構採分級費率:經理費依基金規模20億元以下0.45%、20~100億元0.30%、超過100億元0.15%;保管費約0.030%~0.040%。基金規模約13億元上下(資料日期2026年5月,受益人約0.9~1.0萬人),屬中小型規模ETF。

Business

本基金為被動式追蹤型ETF,追蹤標的為臺灣指數公司編製之「特選臺灣產業龍頭存股等權重指數」(英文指數名稱 TIP Customized Taiwan Market Leader Dividend Equal Weight Index)。指數/基金的核心策略為:自台股各主要產業中,經流動性檢驗後,依發行市值、股東權益報酬率(ROE)、稅後淨利等獲利與配息條件,挑選約33檔(部分資料記載30檔)各產業龍頭/績優股,並以『等權重』方式配置,使每檔成分股權重相近,以避免如台積電等單一個股權重過高造成的集中風險,並達到分散產業、分散個股的效果。指數成分每年於6月、12月定期審核並調整回等權重。收益分配採『季配息』(每年配息4次),近年現金殖利率約落在4.4%~6.7%區間(隨配息與股價變動)。前十大成分股範例(權重隨調整變動)包含台光電(2383)、致茂(2360)、智邦(2345)、聯發科(2454)、南亞(1303)、文曄(3036)、台積電(2330)、大立光(3008)、中租-KY(5871)等,涵蓋半導體、電子零組件、塑化、金融等多元產業龍頭。

Outlook 2025–2028

本檔為被動追蹤的ETF而非營運公司,無企業營運層面的成長動能或擴產計畫;其表現主要取決於所追蹤之台灣產業龍頭等權重指數成分股的整體股價與配息表現。2025~2028年的觀察重點包括:(1)等權重策略相對市值加權型ETF(如0050)對台積電等權值股的曝險較低,在權值股強勢期可能相對落後,但在市場輪動或避免過度集中時具分散優勢;(2)以季配息與穩定殖利率為訴求,配息來源與填息能力受成分股獲利與台股景氣循環影響;(3)相較於規模龐大、流動性高的0050、006208或熱門高股息ETF(00878、00919、00929等),本檔規模偏小(約十餘億元),需留意流動性、追蹤誤差與規模能否擴大等風險;(4)整體報酬仍高度連動台股大盤、台灣電子與半導體景氣、利率與資金環境等系統性因素。上述為依公開資料所做之一般性評估,非投資建議。

Sources(9)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價(etl:adj_close)計算,已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數(含息)為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算,不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日,避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊,統計僅描述歷史分布,樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途,不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險,過去績效不代表未來表現,交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。