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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 1337 再生-KY. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=1337
1337
quality needs a look, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 再生-KY a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 4th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -5.2%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 50th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 98th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 4.2% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +1% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 永豐金-大園 has accumulated 1,206 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
- Main distributor 兆豐-高雄 peaked at 1,018 lots, has sold 58%, 424 left, paused recently.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.05pp, mid holders +5, retail -1.55pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -351 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 永豐金-大園 +1,206
- 中國信託-文心 +815
- 台新-台中 +453
- 群益金鼎-海山 +385
- 元大-新竹經國 +329
- 台灣摩根士丹利 +324
Distributing
- 兆豐-高雄 424 left
- 玉山-城中 48 left
- 華南永昌-台南 261 left
- 富邦-板橋 119 left
- 富邦-三峽 151 left
- 永豐金證券 133 left
Desks
- 康和-高雄 -1,331
- 元大證券 -720
- 元富-潮州 -529
- 兆豐-竹北 -452
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 282 | -23.8% | -32.4% | 25.2% | -22.5% |
| 20-40 | 130 | -23.3% | -24.8% | 3.8% | -42.4% |
| 40-60 | 34 | -13.8% | -20.4% | 23.5% | -30.5% |
| 60-80 | 119 | -17.6% | -22.8% | 14.3% | -37.9% |
| 80-100 You are here | 85 | -14.6% | -14.5% | 0% | -31.9% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 16.84, at the 97.6th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(23d)
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 134 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 7.2%, win rate 14.9%, lagged the market by 15.5%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
8 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.97%, win rate 25%, beating the market by -4.37 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
43 times historically; 60-day forward avg -2.61%, win rate 31%, beating the market by -7.09 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
58 times historically; 60-day forward avg -5.79%, win rate 31.6%, beating the market by -8.47 pts on average.
What does 再生-KY do? Company profile
Overview
再生-KY 為註冊於開曼群島（Cayman Islands）、以「-KY」掛牌的境外控股公司，主要營運據點在中國大陸（福建、江蘇兩大廠區），台灣聯絡據點設於高雄市苓雅區四維四路190號12樓之2。2011年7月1日登錄興櫃、2011年8月17日於台灣證交所上市，產業歸類為塑膠工業。董事長為丁金山，總經理為丁志猛，發言人為財務協理王維民。實收資本額約新台幣 26.90 億元（2,689,547,290 元），普通股發行股數 268,954,729 股，公司網址 http://asia-recycle.com 。成立年份、確切員工人數與主要股東持股結構未在公開搜尋來源中明確查得，相關細節待年報/公開資訊觀測站查證。
Business
公司核心業務為「以廢塑膠（EVA、PE 等）回收再生，產製 EVA 共混發泡製品之製造與銷售」，被市場形容為中國 EVA 發泡再生材料的指標／龍頭廠商。商業模式為：向中國（尤以福建鞋業聚落）回收運動鞋、旅遊鞋製程產生的 EVA／PE 下腳料，經回收造粒後製成發泡材料，再供下游製鞋鞋材使用。生產基地以福建廠（EVA 回收造粒主力）與江蘇廠（PE 回收造粒）為主；集團合計約 48 台發泡機組、產能約 69 萬立方米，近年平均回收廢料約 10 萬噸。終端應用集中於運動鞋、旅遊鞋之鞋底／中底材料，福建一帶鞋類產量約占全球 20%、當地一年約 20 萬噸下腳料可供回收。營收主要來自發泡製品與回收造粒銷售；確切營收佔比結構未在搜尋來源中取得明確分項。
Outlook 2025–2028
成長動能：環保再生材料、ESG／碳排與循環經濟趨勢帶動再生發泡材料需求，市占率被描述為逐年提升；2026年初亦因台塑四寶走強、油價反彈與低基期塑化題材帶動股價短線回升（2026/1/27 一度漲停約 6.16 元）。擴產／新布局：因中國大陸禁止廢塑料進口政策衝擊料源，公司評估於東南亞、中亞、歐洲等地設廠並與海外 PE 回收造粒廠商合作以穩定料源。風險與挑戰：料源（廢料）取得不穩、產能利用率偏低（政策衝擊期間福建廠曾降至約 3 成、江蘇廠約 7 成並裁員逾 200 人）、財務持續虧損（2024 年 EPS 約 -1.54 元，仍處虧損）、曾辦理私募現金增資；2025 年第三季每股淨值約 13.44 元，但股價長期低於淨值（股價淨值比約 0.36～0.43 倍），反映市場對營運與獲利能力的疑慮。2025–2028 能否轉盈，取決於料源海外化、產能利用率回升與再生材料價格／需求；屬高度不確定，宜密切追蹤年報與重大訊息。
Supply Chain
- 中國鞋業聚落 EVA／PE 下腳料回收商 上游原料來源：回收運動鞋、旅遊鞋製程產生的 EVA、PE 下腳料（福建當地一年約 20 萬噸），供應商多為中國當地未上市回收業者
- 海外 PE 回收造粒廠商 為因應中國禁廢塑料進口、穩定料源，與東南亞等地回收造粒廠商合作；多為未上市／非台股掛牌
- 塑膠加工機械（發泡機組／造粒設備）供應商 上游設備供應，提供發泡機組與回收造粒產線設備；具體廠商未公開揭露，多為非台股掛牌
- 中國鞋材（鞋底／中底）製造廠 下游主要客戶：採購 EVA 再生發泡材料製成鞋底、中底，多位於中國福建（晉江、莆田等）鞋業聚落，多為未上市
- 運動鞋／旅遊鞋品牌與製鞋 OEM（終端應用） 終端應用產業為運動鞋、旅遊鞋；台灣掛牌製鞋代工如寶成(9904)、豐泰(9910)屬同一終端產業，但是否為直接客戶未經證實
Competitors
- 中國本地塑膠再生與 EVA 發泡材料同業 主要競爭者為中國當地廢塑膠再生造粒與 EVA 發泡材料廠商，多未上市；公司被視為該領域指標廠之一
- 台灣塑膠／發泡材料相關業者（鬆散比較） 如三芳(1307，PU 合成皮/材料)等台股塑膠材料廠可作概念性比較，惟產品與終端不完全重疊，非直接競爭，信心度低
Sources（10）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.