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2948

寶陞 Home & Living As of 2026-07-28 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation, no active signal today.

This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 寶陞 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
估值 76品質 44成長 54動能 41籌碼 50

Is 寶陞 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • 獲利能力偏弱。營業利益率僅勝過全市場約 48% 的個股。最新一季 ROE 約 1.2%。

  • 估值中性。本益比位居全市場第 39 百分位。

  • 外資近期中性。外資近 20 日買賣超大致持平。

Chip flow

Neutral -0.13
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
  • 永豐金-新莊 holds 193 lots
  • sellers have 9 lots left, ~35 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -4% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 永豐金-新莊 has accumulated 193 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor (牛牛牛)亞-網路 peaked at 14 lots, has sold 64%, 5 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -2.15pp, mid holders +1, retail +0.14pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -20 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
永豐金-新莊凱基-士林富邦-南京元大-天母元大-彰化合庫-台南
Distributing
(牛牛牛)亞-網路台新第一金-嘉義統一-中壢台新-敦南永豐金-板盛
Desks
own scale
元大-高雄凱基-敦北陽信-高雄永豐金-敦南
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 永豐金-新莊 +193
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-士林 +29
    sold 0%
  • 富邦-南京 +22
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-天母 +17
    sold 0%
  • 元大-彰化 +13
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 合庫-台南 +10
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • (牛牛牛)亞-網路 5 left
    sold 64%· paused recently
  • 台新 7 left
    sold 30%· ~35 sessions to clear
  • 第一金-嘉義 2 left
    sold 33%· paused recently
  • 統一-中壢 1 left
    sold 67%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 台新-敦南 1 left
    sold 50%· paused recently
  • 永豐金-板盛 1 left
    sold 50%· ~10 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大-高雄 -35
    unclassified
  • 凱基-敦北 -34
    unclassified
  • 陽信-高雄 -28
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-敦南 -27
    unclassified
Still selling 9 lots ~35 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +18 absorbed / -4 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月，每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件；這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬，等權平均為 6.99%，平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點，在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬，再對月份平均；超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號（歷史統計供參）

這些訊號現在沒有發生，列出歷史樣本以供對照

股價創 252 日新高（突破日）

Pending

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

月營收年增率 ≥ 20%（公告截止日起算）

Pending

單月營收年增率達 20% 以上；事件日為公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到未公告資訊

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資（不含自營商）買賣超連續 5 日為正，事件日為第 5 日；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價（etl:adj_close）計算，已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數（含息）為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算，不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊，統計僅描述歷史分布，樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途，不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險，過去績效不代表未來表現，交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。