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3051

力特 Optoelectronics As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 力特 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 49Quality 68Growth 78Momentum 63Chips 60

Is 力特 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 68th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 3.0%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 56th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 84th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 1.7% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 36.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.48
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 美林 holds 505 lots
  • sellers have 1,416 lots left, ~94 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +11% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 美林 has accumulated 505 lots since the start (sold 6%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 華南永昌-南京 peaked at 597 lots, has sold 83%, 104 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -4.58pp, mid holders -4, retail +4.81pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -3,195 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
美林兆豐-大安凱基-站前華南永昌中國信託-永康元大-大雅
Distributing
華南永昌-南京新加坡商瑞銀美商高盛統一兆豐-忠孝台灣摩根士丹利
Desks
own scale
凱基-台北元大證券凱基-市政元大-鹿港
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 美林 +505
    sold 6%· still adding
  • 兆豐-大安 +347
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-站前 +299
    sold 19%
  • 華南永昌 +252
    sold 0%
  • 中國信託-永康 +213
    sold 0%
  • 元大-大雅 +200
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 華南永昌-南京 104 left
    sold 83%· paused recently
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 337 left
    sold 38%· ~82 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 302 left
    sold 39%· paused recently
  • 統一 166 left
    sold 62%· paused recently
  • 兆豐-忠孝 265 left
    sold 34%· ~58 sessions to clear
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 256 left
    sold 36%· paused recently

Desks

  • 凱基-台北 -2,570
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 元大證券 -1,278
    unclassified
  • 凱基-市政 -952
    unclassified
  • 元大-鹿港 -803
    unclassified
Still selling 1,416 lots ~94 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,711 absorbed / -924 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 36.6%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

43 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 48.5%, Sample 33, Median -0.53%, Excess +10.01%, Beat mkt rate 45.5%；60-day: Win 60.6%, Sample 33, Median +17.27%, Excess +29.71%, Beat mkt rate 60.6%；120-day: Win 63.6%, Sample 33, Median +29.7%, Excess +27.8%, Beat mkt rate 63.6%

120 days after: historical avg +32.71%

20-day +9.85%
60-day +32.07%
120-day +32.71%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
48.5%
60.6%
63.6%
Sample
33
33
33
Median
-0.53%
+17.27%
+29.7%
Excess
+10.01%
+29.71%
+27.8%
Beat mkt rate
45.5%
60.6%
63.6%

Over 33 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 32.71%, beat the market by 27.8 pts; win rate 63.6%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 62+29.4% +32.8% 72.6% -93.4%
20-40 154+2.8% -1% 47.4% -3.6%
40-60 231+75.3% +98.3% 77.5% +38.7%
60-80 479-0.2% -13.8% 31.7% -27%
80-100 You are here365+62.8% +11% 68.5% +1.4%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 26.36, at the 83.5th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+3.2%
Win rate 48.1% Excess -2.9%
54d
+11.2%
Win rate 55.7% Excess +4.5%
246d
Now
+20.1%
Win rate 51.7% Excess -2.1%
389d
60-day momentum down
-6.1%
Win rate 30.1% Excess -15.1%
113d
+7.1%
Win rate 57.1% Excess -13.7%
296d
+25.1%
Win rate 62.6% Excess -6%
313d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 389 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 20.1%, win rate 51.7%, lagged the market by 2.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

17 times historically; 60-day forward avg +21.75%, win rate 68.8%, beating the market by +17.88 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

40 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.77%, win rate 46.2%, beating the market by -5.94 pts on average.

What does 力特 do? Company profile

光電業；偏光板與顯示器關鍵零組件 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

3051 對應證券為力特光電科技股份有限公司普通股，股票簡稱力特，市場別為上市。公司成立於1998年3月3日，2002年10月28日掛牌上市，總部及營運地址位於桃園市平鎮區平東路659巷37號。董事長為趙寄蓉，總經理為趙輝生。公司資本額為新台幣16.7億元，已發行普通股約167,000,000股。2024年永續報告書揭露員工人數約600人，2024年底聘用員工588名，其中外籍勞工153名。主要股東與內部人方面，公開資料顯示董事長趙寄蓉持股約9.6%至9.7%，總經理趙輝生約0.98%，法人董事世鴻興業持股約0.2%；2026年5月董監持股比率約10.95%。公司曾獲韓國LGD最佳供應商獎，並於2023、2024年獲京東方-精電合作夥伴或卓越貢獻相關獎項。

Business

力特為偏光板專業製造商，官方資料稱其為台灣第一家擁有偏光板研發、製造及加工能力之專業製造公司，經工研院引介與日方技術合作切入LCD關鍵零組件偏光板生產及代工。主要產品包括LCD/OLED用偏光板，涵蓋TN、STN、TFT、PM-OLED、AM-OLED等，以及太陽眼鏡用鏡片、觸控及相關光學材料。2024年永續報告書揭露營收結構為偏光板97%、太陽眼鏡、觸控及相關光學材料3%；2024年主要產品產能合計5,612仟平方公尺、產量1,879仟平方公尺、產值新台幣1,154,725仟元，其中TFT產值913,109仟元、TN/STN產值241,616仟元。車載偏光板已成策略核心，產品應用包括中控、儀表、HUD顯示器及蓋板、智慧後視鏡、電子後視鏡、防窺顯示器及摩托車儀表等；公司宣稱車載產品可滿足高溫95°C、高溫高濕65°C/95%，並可做到高溫105°C、110°C以及高溫高濕85°C/85%的產品力，同時提供碘系與染料系車載偏光板。商業模式為B2B材料與零組件供應，主要客戶為台灣、中國大陸、日本、韓國等地面板廠，再往下游連結車用顯示、工控、穿戴、AR/VR、消費電子及太陽眼鏡等終端應用。2024年合併營收為新台幣1,887,383仟元；2025年全年合併營收約新台幣1,875,460仟元，年減約0.63%；2026年1至5月累計營收新台幣752,059仟元，年減4.81%，其中2026年5月單月營收新台幣200,178仟元，年增36.6%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以高值化偏光板為主軸。成長動能包括：一、車載偏光板占比提高，2024年底至2025年公開報導與法說資訊顯示車用偏光片營收比重已接近或達約80%，有助於毛利率與獲利韌性，且較消費性電子大尺寸偏光板更偏利基市場；二、車用顯示電子化、座艙多螢化、HUD、電子後視鏡、防窺顯示與新能源車需求，拉動高信賴性偏光板；三、AR/VR、AI眼鏡、穿戴裝置、工控、太陽眼鏡與防窺膜等利基應用，可分散傳統LCD景氣循環；四、公司持續推動材料在地化、導入新材料及供應商、設備投資與效率提升，以降低成本與提升良率。2025年股東會相關報導指出，公司2023年起調整產品結構，以高貢獻車載產品為主要獲利來源，VR/AR等利基產品持續開發；HUD蓋板、防窺偏光板與膜材、視角補償膜也為開發重點。2025年底公開報導指出，公司對2026年第一季訂單能見度相對穩健，但第二季以後仍保守；2026年1至5月累計營收仍年減，顯示終端拉貨與車用客戶時程仍有波動。主要風險包括：偏光板位於面板上游且受面板景氣循環影響、車載偏光板競爭加劇、日系關鍵材料依存度仍高、匯率與日圓採購成本波動、TAC膜、PVA膜、PSA膠及離型膜等關鍵材料供應與品質瓶頸、車用認證週期長、客戶集中於面板與車用供應鏈、AR/VR與AI眼鏡需求落地時程不確定，以及中國供應鏈價格競爭。2027至2028年缺乏公司明確量化財測，合理研判仍將取決於車載顯示滲透率、利基產品量產進度、材料在地化成功率與毛利率維持能力。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 台灣、日本、韓國及中國大陸原膜製造商 公司永續報告書揭露之上游類別，供應偏光板原膜等材料；未逐名揭露供應商。
  • PVA膜供應商，例如Kuraray、日本合成化學等日系材料廠 PVA為偏光板核心材料；此為產業鏈常見供應商，非公司逐名確認之直接供應商。
  • TAC膜供應商，例如富士、柯尼卡美能達等日系材料廠 TAC為偏光板保護膜核心材料；公司表示關鍵材料多掌握於日系供應商，日系材料依存仍高，但未逐名揭露。
  • PSA膠、離型膜及TAC膜在地供應商 公司稱持續與TAC膜、PSA膠、離型膜在地供應商討論技術、品質與價格，以提高在地採購比率；未揭露公司名稱。
  • 工研院及日本三立相關技術合作來源 公司成立初期經工研院引介自日方技術合作；官方技術研發頁稱原始技術來自日本三立公司技術轉移。
Downstream
  • 台灣、中國大陸、日本及韓國面板廠 公司永續報告書揭露下游客戶涵蓋各大面板廠，地區包括台灣、中國大陸、日本及韓國；未逐名揭露全部客戶。
  • 京東方精電 公司2023及2024年獲京東方-精電合作夥伴或年度卓越貢獻獎；京東方精電為香港上市BOE Varitronix體系，非台股掛牌。
  • LG Display 公司里程碑揭露曾獲韓國LGD最佳供應商獎；LG Display為韓國上市面板廠，非台股掛牌。
  • 友達光電 2409 台灣上市面板廠，屬力特偏光板產品的下游產業類型；未在已查資料中確認為力特直接客戶。
  • 群創光電 3481 台灣上市面板廠，屬力特偏光板產品的下游產業類型；未在已查資料中確認為力特直接客戶。
  • 車用顯示器、AR/VR、穿戴、工控及太陽眼鏡終端品牌與模組廠 下游終端應用與模組鏈，包含中控、儀表、HUD、智慧後視鏡、防窺顯示、AI眼鏡、VR/AR與太陽眼鏡等；多數未由公司逐名揭露。

Competitors

  • 誠美材 4960 台灣上市偏光板與光學膜材料廠，與力特同屬偏光板供應鏈競爭者。
  • 明基材 8215 台灣上市偏光板與功能膜材料廠，為台灣偏光板主要同業。
  • 日東電工 日本上市公司，全球偏光板與光學材料大廠，非台股掛牌。
  • 住友化學 日本上市公司，全球偏光板及顯示材料競爭者，非台股掛牌。
  • 三星SDI 韓國上市公司，偏光板及電子材料競爭者，非台股掛牌。
  • LG化學 韓國上市公司，顯示材料與偏光板相關競爭者，非台股掛牌。
  • 深圳市三利譜光電科技 中國A股上市偏光片廠，非台股掛牌。
  • 杉金光電 中國偏光片廠，承接LG化學偏光板業務後為全球重要競爭者；非台股掛牌。
Sources（21）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.