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4560

強信-KY Electric Machinery As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, discounted valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 強信-KY to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 82Quality 69Growth 66Momentum 32Chips 16

Is 強信-KY a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 77th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.5%.

  • Valuation is low.PE is in the 12th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 22th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -3.2% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 22.0%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.26
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution, concentration falling — bearish

  • Distribution, concentration falling — bearish
  • 中農 holds 322 lots
  • sellers have 228 lots left, ~153 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price 0% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 中農 has accumulated 322 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 美林 peaked at 264 lots, has sold 59%, 108 left, ~47 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -2.32pp, mid holders +1, retail +0.38pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -175 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
中農新加坡商瑞銀元大證券香港上海匯豐國泰證券元富-世貿
Distributing
美林摩根大通美商高盛台灣摩根士丹利港商野村富邦證券
Desks
own scale
群益金鼎中國信託台新-世貿凱基-台北
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 中農 +322
    sold 0%
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 +270
    sold 16%· still adding
  • 元大證券 +164
    sold 5%· still adding
  • 香港上海匯豐 +146
    sold 0%
  • 國泰證券 +130
    sold 1%
  • 元富-世貿 +99
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 美林 108 left
    sold 59%· ~47 sessions to clear
  • 摩根大通 88 left
    sold 57%· paused recently
  • 美商高盛 76 left
    sold 58%· paused recently
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 97 left
    sold 30%· paused recently
  • 港商野村 46 left
    sold 57%· ~153 sessions to clear
  • 富邦證券 42 left
    sold 45%· ~12 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 群益金鼎 -1,016
    unclassified
  • 中國信託 -239
    unclassified
  • 台新-世貿 -179
    unclassified
  • 凱基-台北 -165
    day-trade · selling pressure
Still selling 228 lots ~153 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +304 absorbed / -121 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 21.97%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

39 historical occurrences (since 2017-05-26)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 65.8%, Sample 38, Median +1.41%, Excess +0.8%, Beat mkt rate 52.6%；60-day: Win 57.9%, Sample 38, Median +1.93%, Excess +1.84%, Beat mkt rate 57.9%；120-day: Win 63.2%, Sample 38, Median +1.81%, Excess +1.51%, Beat mkt rate 52.6%

120 days after: historical avg +3.9%

20-day +1.86%
60-day +3.33%
120-day +3.9%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
65.8%
57.9%
63.2%
Sample
38
38
38
Median
+1.41%
+1.93%
+1.81%
Excess
+0.8%
+1.84%
+1.51%
Beat mkt rate
52.6%
57.9%
52.6%

Over 38 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.9%, beat the market by 1.51 pts; win rate 63.2%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 183-1.8% -1.2% 30.6% -28.1%
20-40 You are here97-2.7% -3.1% 7.2% -27.9%
40-60 275-1.5% -2.2% 32% -39.7%
60-80 189-0.8% -3.3% 33.3% -24.4%
80-100 476+0.7% +0.5% 57.6% -9%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 11.56, at the 22.2th percentile of its own history (20-40 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Now
-4.1%
Win rate 2.5% Excess -9.7%
118d
-5.7%
Win rate 9.2% Excess -18%
173d
-0.6%
Win rate 44.2% Excess -11.7%
360d
60-day momentum down
+0.1%
Win rate 47.5% Excess -24.5%
236d
+3.4%
Win rate 82% Excess -10.5%
244d
+2.7%
Win rate 66% Excess -0.8%
209d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 118 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 4.1%, win rate 2.5%, lagged the market by 9.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

6 times historically; 60-day forward avg -4.7%, win rate 16.7%, beating the market by -14.48 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

44 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.75%, win rate 41.9%, beating the market by -5.98 pts on average.

What does 強信-KY do? Company profile

電機機械；工業縫紉機零配件 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

強信機械科技股份有限公司為註冊於英屬開曼群島之境外控股公司，成立於2014年10月31日，2017年5月26日在台灣證券交易所第一上市，股票代號4560。公司總部/台灣分公司地址為桃園市龜山區建國東路89號；董事長與總經理為綦秉信。官方投資人資料列示實收資本額約新台幣6.8億元；2025年法說會列示資本額新台幣680,972仟元。主要生產基地為強信機械科技（萊州）有限公司與浩強精密機械（青島）有限公司，2025年法說會列示員工人數分別為1,222人與169人。前十大股東名單基準日2026年4月18日顯示，IMPERIAL INTERNATIONAL CO., LTD持股27,272,000股、40.05%，PREMIER CHOICE VENTURES INC、DOUBLE FAITH HOLDING LIMITED、Global Sharp Investments Limited各持股5,220,000股、7.67%，Joyful Gain Investment Limited持股4,060,000股、5.96%，Regency Star International Limited持股3,480,000股、5.11%，貝里斯商昕曜有限公司持股3,211,000股、4.79%。公司直接或間接100%持有Faith Light International Corporation、VANDEN INTERNATIONAL CO., LTD、強信機械科技（萊州）有限公司、浩強精密機械（青島）有限公司及台灣分公司等。

Business

公司為工業縫紉機零配件製造與銷售商，以自有品牌STRONG H行銷全球，產品供整機廠裝配與終端使用者修配市場使用。主要產品包括工業縫紉機刀類、裁剪機刀類、針板剪線組、梭床組、電腦繡花機刀類、針位組、針板、牙齒、壓腳、針鎦，以及自動剪線、防鳥巢、切帶等自動化裝置與部分自動化設備。2025年法說會指出公司可生產超過10,000種工業縫紉機零配件，客戶涵蓋全球前十大工業縫紉機品牌，為全球最大工業縫紉機零配件製造與銷售商。2025年上半年產品別營收比重約為刀類69%、自動裝置成套10%、自動裝置散件6%、針位組7%、其他8%；客戶結構約品牌廠44%、代理商56%；地區別約中國80%、亞洲其他14%、美洲3%、歐洲2%、其他1%。2025年度合併財報列示營業收入淨額新台幣1,718,429仟元，全部為縫紉機零配件銷售收入，較2024年度新台幣1,607,273仟元成長；2025年EPS為3.02元。商業模式上，公司透過中國山東萊州與青島生產基地進行精密加工、熱處理、CNC加工、線切割等製程，對品牌整機廠提供配套零件，並透過代理商/經銷商覆蓋維修替換需求。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025-2028年展望為中性偏正向但具循環性。成長動能包括：一、工業縫紉機及服飾製造景氣自2024-2025年逐步回溫，2025年法說會引用中國縫製機械協會資料說明2025年1-8月中國縫製機械出口改善；二、公司2025年上半年毛利率提升至37.83%，接近疫情前較高區間，反映產能利用率、產品組合與生產效率改善；三、公司規劃持續推動產品領先、市場深耕、生產力提升與信息化建設，包含提升產品性能、降低成本、拓展新產品市場、拓展二級經銷商、自動化設備建線生產，以及導入MES、APS、ERP、PLM、QMS等系統降低製造成本與庫存；四、全球工業縫紉機市場研究機構對2025-2034年多預估約3%-5%年複合成長，驅動因素包含服裝/紡織需求、工廠自動化、精密化與新興市場工業化。風險包括：中國市場營收占比高，若中國成衣與縫製設備投資放緩將直接影響訂單；鋼材、精鑄件、刀頭、電磁鐵、電控等原料與零組件價格波動；人民幣、美元與新台幣匯率變動；工業縫紉機產業存有低價競爭與整機廠自製零件的壓力；全球服飾品牌庫存循環、關稅與地緣政治可能影響終端資本支出。2026年前四月公司自結月營收分別為新台幣144,830仟元、127,914仟元、178,821仟元、174,042仟元，顯示2026年初營收仍維持一定復甦動能，但月營收為未查核自結數。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 昆銓實業 MoneyDJ產業資料列為強信-KY鋼材供應商；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • Erasteel MoneyDJ產業資料列為鋼材供應商；屬海外特殊鋼材料供應商，非台股掛牌。
  • 重機（上海）工業有限公司 MoneyDJ產業資料列為刀頭、刀架、刀片供應商；與日本JUKI集團相關，非台股掛牌。
  • 強浩機械科技（青島）有限公司 2025年財報列為實質關係人並有進貨交易；MoneyDJ列為刀頭、刀架、刀片供應商，未上市。
  • 萊州皇嘉精密機械 MoneyDJ產業資料列為刀頭、刀架、刀片供應商；未確認為上市公司。
  • 藤卓智能科技 MoneyDJ產業資料列為氣動元件供應商；未確認為上市公司。
  • 青島凱美煜 MoneyDJ產業資料列為電磁鐵供應商；未確認為上市公司。
  • 青島海鷹 MoneyDJ產業資料列為電磁鐵供應商；未確認為上市公司。
  • 深圳市積聚電子 MoneyDJ產業資料列為電控供應商；未確認為上市公司。
Downstream
  • 高林股 1531 MoneyDJ產業資料列為品牌整機廠客戶；台股上市公司，工業縫紉機相關。
  • JUKI／重機 官方網站客戶連結與MoneyDJ資料列為客戶；日本上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • Brother／兄弟 官方網站客戶連結與MoneyDJ資料列為客戶；日本上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 標準股份 MoneyDJ資料列為客戶；中國A股上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 中捷資源 MoneyDJ資料列為客戶；中國掛牌/集團客戶，非台股掛牌。
  • 寶石／GEMSY 官方網站客戶連結與MoneyDJ資料列為客戶；中國縫製設備品牌，非台股掛牌。
  • 杰克科技 MoneyDJ資料列為客戶；中國A股上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 飛馬／PEGASUS 官方網站客戶連結與MoneyDJ資料列為客戶；日本縫紉機品牌，非台股掛牌。
  • 大和／Yamato 官方網站客戶連結與MoneyDJ資料列為客戶；日本縫紉機品牌，非台股掛牌。
  • 勝家／Singer 官方網站客戶連結列示之客戶/品牌；非台股掛牌。

Competitors

  • 德鷹 MoneyDJ產業資料列為工業縫紉機零配件競爭廠商；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 萬工 MoneyDJ產業資料列為工業縫紉機零配件競爭廠商；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 鄞工 MoneyDJ產業資料列為工業縫紉機零配件競爭廠商；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 慧捷 MoneyDJ產業資料列為工業縫紉機零配件競爭廠商；未確認為台股上市櫃公司。
  • 杰克科技 中國A股工業縫紉機整機龍頭，非台股掛牌；若其零件自製或向供應鏈延伸，可能形成間接競爭。
Sources（13）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.