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4984

科納-KY Electronics As of 2026-07-28 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 科納-KY to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
估值 71品質 11成長 92動能 50籌碼 50

Is 科納-KY a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • 獲利能力偏弱。營業利益率僅勝過全市場約 13% 的個股。最新一季 ROE 約 -2.5%。

  • 估值中性。本益比位居全市場第 67 百分位。以自身歷史看，目前本益比約在第 84 百分位。

  • 營收高成長。最新月營收年增率約 60.2%，超過 20% 的成長門檻。

Historical evidence

目前正在發生的訊號

以下訊號在最近一筆資料中成立，附這檔股票自身歷史上每次出現後的前瞻報酬統計

股價創 252 日新高（突破日）

Active

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

11 historical occurrences (since 2013-09-17)
Average forward return after 股價創 252 日新高（突破日）。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 10, Median +0.65%, Excess -0.09%, Beat mkt rate 40%；60-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 8, Median +13.26%, Excess -1.61%, Beat mkt rate 50%；120-day: Win 42.9%, Sample 7, Median -4.57%, Excess +9.78%, Beat mkt rate 42.9%

120 days after: historical avg +17.5%

20-day +1.57%
60-day +3.4%
120-day +17.5%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
62.5%
42.9%
Sample
10
8
7
Median
+0.65%
+13.26%
-4.57%
Excess
-0.09%
-1.61%
+9.78%
Beat mkt rate
40%
50%
42.9%

Over 7 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 17.5%, beat the market by 9.78 pts; win rate 42.9%.

月營收年增率 ≥ 20%（公告截止日起算）

Active · now 60.2%

單月營收年增率達 20% 以上；事件日為公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到未公告資訊

29 historical occurrences (since 2011-09-13)
Average forward return after 月營收年增率 ≥ 20%（公告截止日起算）。20-day: Win 53.6%, Sample 28, Median +1.12%, Excess +0.92%, Beat mkt rate 50%；60-day: Win 57.7%, Sample 26, Median +8.82%, Excess +2.84%, Beat mkt rate 57.7%；120-day: Win 53.8%, Sample 26, Median +5.21%, Excess +5.26%, Beat mkt rate 42.3%

120 days after: historical avg +11.58%

20-day +1.78%
60-day +5.91%
120-day +11.58%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
53.6%
57.7%
53.8%
Sample
28
26
26
Median
+1.12%
+8.82%
+5.21%
Excess
+0.92%
+2.84%
+5.26%
Beat mkt rate
50%
57.7%
42.3%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 11.58%, beat the market by 5.26 pts; win rate 53.8%.

估值位階與後續報酬

把這檔股票每天的本益比，換算成「截至當天為止的自身歷史百分位」，再看不同估值位階之後 240 個交易日的還原股價報酬。

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 226+3.8% -34.7% 21.7% -16.8%
20-40 151+30.3% +39.6% 67.5% +11.7%
40-60 31+11.5% +19.5% 80.6% -7.2%
60-80 5Insufficient data
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

百分位以當天為止的自身歷史滾動計算（expanding），不含未來資訊；前瞻報酬為還原股價 240 交易日。樣本日重疊，僅供分布參考。

目前本益比約 31.43，落在自身歷史第 83.6 百分位，屬於 80-100 區間。

估值 × 動能的歷史對照

把自身歷史的每一天，依估值位階（本益比自身歷史三分位）與 60 日動能方向分成六格，看各情境之後 120 個交易日的還原股價報酬。

Valuation
Momentum
便宜
中等
昂貴
向上
+9.2%
Win rate 45.2% Excess +0.8%
188d
+41.2%
Win rate 80.7% Excess +32.5%
88d
Insufficient data
(0d)
向下
0%
Win rate 24.5% Excess -9.2%
253d
Insufficient data
(0d)
Now
Insufficient data
(1d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月，每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件；這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬，等權平均為 6.99%，平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點，在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬，再對月份平均；超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號（歷史統計供參）

這些訊號現在沒有發生，列出歷史樣本以供對照

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資（不含自營商）買賣超連續 5 日為正，事件日為第 5 日；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.45%, win rate 66.7%, beating the market by +7.44 pts on average.

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價（etl:adj_close）計算，已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數（含息）為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算，不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊，統計僅描述歷史分布，樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途，不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險，過去績效不代表未來表現，交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。