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5263

智崴 Cultural & Creative As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 智崴 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 22Quality 40Growth 87Momentum 50Chips 72

Is 智崴 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 38th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.3%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 98th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 94th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 3.8% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 61.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.52
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 統一 holds 665 lots
  • sellers have 103 lots left, ~15 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -17% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 統一 has accumulated 665 lots since the start (sold 9%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 台新-高雄 peaked at 360 lots, has sold 26%, 267 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.96pp, mid holders +1, retail -1.28pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -194 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
統一永豐金證券華南永昌美商高盛統一-彰化新光
Distributing
台新-高雄京城-嘉義港商野村美林富邦-仁愛國票-敦北法人
Desks
own scale
凱基國票-安和新光-台南國泰證券
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 統一 +665
    sold 9%· still adding
  • 永豐金證券 +537
    sold 2%
  • 華南永昌 +358
    sold 0%
  • 美商高盛 +252
    sold 6%· still adding
  • 統一-彰化 +249
    sold 19%· still adding
  • 新光 +242
    sold 9%

Distributing

  • 台新-高雄 267 left
    sold 26%· paused recently
  • 京城-嘉義 30 left
    sold 88%· ~6 sessions to clear
  • 港商野村 83 left
    sold 29%· paused recently
  • 美林 33 left
    sold 62%· paused recently
  • 富邦-仁愛 40 left
    sold 52%· paused recently
  • 國票-敦北法人 29 left
    sold 65%· ~9 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 凱基 -373
    unclassified
  • 國票-安和 -268
    unclassified
  • 新光-台南 -257
    unclassified
  • 國泰證券 -233
    unclassified
Still selling 103 lots ~15 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +351 absorbed / -127 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -78 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 61.21%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

78 historical occurrences (since 2012-12-18)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 52.2%, Sample 67, Median +1.14%, Excess +2.27%, Beat mkt rate 41.8%；60-day: Win 44.6%, Sample 65, Median -1.25%, Excess +4.83%, Beat mkt rate 41.5%；120-day: Win 43.1%, Sample 65, Median -4.35%, Excess +6.13%, Beat mkt rate 26.2%

120 days after: historical avg +14.06%

20-day +3.58%
60-day +8.21%
120-day +14.06%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.2%
44.6%
43.1%
Sample
67
65
65
Median
+1.14%
-1.25%
-4.35%
Excess
+2.27%
+4.83%
+6.13%
Beat mkt rate
41.8%
41.5%
26.2%

Over 65 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 14.06%, beat the market by 6.13 pts; win rate 43.1%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 599-12.3% -10% 28.4% -43.5%
20-40 110-19.6% -21.9% 13.6% -30.1%
40-60 39+3.9% +14.3% 64.1% -7.3%
60-80 49+28.8% +24% 98% +11.4%
80-100 You are here115+16.7% +15.2% 86.1% -0.1%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 296.67, at the 94.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-8%
Win rate 39.8% Excess -16%
322d
Insufficient data
(24d)
+6.4%
Win rate 62.5% Excess -33.1%
120d
60-day momentum down
-4.8%
Win rate 40.8% Excess -19.3%
436d
+33.1%
Win rate 100% Excess +21.8%
56d
Now
+5%
Win rate 45.9% Excess -12.3%
74d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 74 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 5%, win rate 45.9%, lagged the market by 12.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +16.25%, win rate 30.8%, beating the market by +11.22 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

60 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.85%, win rate 45.8%, beating the market by -4.28 pts on average.

What does 智崴 do? Company profile

文化創意業；體感模擬遊樂設備、飛行劇院與沉浸式娛樂解決方案 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

5263 對應智崴資訊科技股份有限公司，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股，非 ETF、ETN、權證或特別股。公司成立於 2001-10-30，總部位於高雄市前鎮區復興四路9號，上櫃日為 2012-12-18。公司官方投資人關係頁列示交易市場為財團法人中華民國證券櫃檯買賣中心、產業別為文化創意業、主要業務為體感模擬遊樂設備製造銷售、實收資本額約新台幣7.39億元；董事長為歐陽志宏，且年報揭露董事長兼任總經理。2024年年報列示截至年報刊印日附近員工合計約272人，其中研發人員約108人、管理人員約26人、一般人員約138人。2024年年報列示前十大股東包含歐陽志宏、潤泰全球股份有限公司、中國信託商業銀行受託保管盈力管理諮詢有限公司投資專戶、潤泰創新國際股份有限公司、台新國際商業銀行受託保管傑鉌資本有限公司投資專戶、凃水城、長春投資股份有限公司、大豪森股份有限公司、梁淑慧、黃詠良等；其中歐陽志宏持股約5.54%、潤泰全球約4.58%。2026年1月公司宣布透過100%持股荷蘭子公司擬以7,840萬美元收購 Flyover Attractions 100%股權；2026年5月補充公告顯示該案預計第三季完成，故截至本研究日應視為待交割或進行中交易。

Business

智崴核心業務是為全球主題樂園、觀光景點、博物館、購物商場、都會體驗中心等客戶提供體感模擬遊樂設備、飛行劇院、系統工程整合、內容影片與營運相關服務。主要產品線包括 i-Ride 動感飛行劇院、m-Ride 中階飛行劇院、o-Ride 輕量化／經濟型飛行劇院、miRide 賽車模擬器，以及數位內容、IP影片與沉浸式場域設計。2024年營收淨額約新台幣13.918億元，較2023年約8.627億元成長約61%；營收結構為專案合約收入約84.98%、權利金收入約3.42%、勞務收入約5.03%、門票及商品銷貨收入約6.13%、租賃收入約0.44%。地區別來看，2024年台灣約22.36%、亞洲約38.72%、美洲約37.30%、歐洲約0.70%、大洋洲約0.92%，外銷合計約77.64%。商業模式由早期硬體設備銷售，逐步擴大為統包解決方案、內容授權、分潤、自營示範據點與品牌／營運整合。年報揭露2024年度銷貨淨額10%以上客戶為大型文化娛樂產業綜合營運商，但未揭露實名；已公開案例包含 FlyOver 系列、德國 Europa-Park、LEGOLAND、澳洲 Dreamworld、中國長隆、加拿大尼加拉大瀑布公園、沙烏地阿拉伯 Flying Over Saudi、韓國現代汽車品牌體驗等。公司宣稱高階體感飛行劇院市場占有率約85%，且全球已有超過100座多媒體娛樂設施營運或安裝中。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望以全球主題樂園資本支出恢復、新興市場觀光娛樂投資、飛行劇院產品線擴張、內容/IP化與可能的營運品牌併購整合為主。公司2024年年報指出，2025年加拿大、日本、墨西哥及沙烏地阿拉伯等地將有大型體感設備或飛行劇院陸續開幕，尼加拉大瀑布公園案由智崴提供場域主題設計、飛行影片內容製作與飛行劇院建置等統包服務；沙烏地阿拉伯案則為中東大型飛行劇院，日本案導入LED螢幕頂級飛行劇院。2026年後的成長動能包括：橋頭科學園區新廠投產以擴大研發、製造與測試空間；中東 Vision 2030 帶動大型娛樂城與主題樂園需求；越南大型主題樂園業者採購多套設備並規劃2027年胡志明市近郊大型綜合娛樂開發；o-Ride、O-Ride X、Mini Flying Theater 等模組化與低成本產品擴大可服務場域；AI生成體感體驗、AI導覽、AI安全監控、AI預測性維護、UE遊戲引擎加速影片開發等研發方向有助提升內容產製效率與售後服務。2026年第一季公司公告營收約3.29億元、毛利率約50.65%、EPS約0.67元，顯示毛利率回升但仍受專案認列節奏影響。2026年1月宣布擬收購 Flyover Attractions，若交割完成，將由設備供應商進一步延伸至國際飛行劇院品牌與營運通路，增加經常性營收與內容變現機會。主要風險包括專案型收入認列不穩、客戶決策遞延、匯率波動、鋼鐵與大型硬體零組件成本波動、少數大型專案或客戶集中、國際政經與戰爭影響旅遊投資、併購交割與整合風險、專業人才招募不易，以及大型遊樂設備安全認證與交期管理壓力。2027至2028年的明確財務數字未見公司正式指引，因此僅能定性判斷：若中東、東南亞、北美與收購 Flyover 進展順利，營收結構可望由一次性設備專案逐步增加內容、維運、營運與分潤比重；若新興市場投標落空或大型專案遞延，獲利波動仍會偏高。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 精密機械金屬加工業者與台灣中小企業協力廠 年報說明體感模擬設備硬體包含載具、六軸平台、鋼構等，主要委託協力廠加工製造；供應商在年報以代碼匿名，未揭露實名。
  • 電子零件、伺服閥、投影機、音響與多媒體設備供應商 供應投影播放、控制、聲光特效與電子零組件；年報僅列採購類別，未揭露具名供應商。
  • 球型或環型銀幕及顯示系統供應商 飛行劇院與沉浸式劇場關鍵硬體，上游供應鏈之一；年報未揭露具名供應商。
  • 數位影音內容、控制系統與嵌入式軟體技術供應或合作方 上游軟體包含無線嵌入式控制系統、投影播放控制系統與數位影音內容；部分由智崴自研，部分依專案整合外部資源。
  • 講談社 日本出版商，非台股掛牌；智崴曾與其合作開發《進擊的巨人》等IP體感內容。
  • 東寶 日本影視與IP公司，非台股掛牌；媒體報導提及智崴透過自製及與講談社、東寶等合作擴大IP內容。
Downstream
  • 全球主題式樂園、博物館、展覽館、購物商場、觀光景點、都會體驗中心、動物園與海洋館 年報列示的主要下游應用場域；智崴依客戶需求整合軟硬體後銷售或提供統包服務。
  • Europa-Park 德國未上市主題樂園營運商；智崴飛行劇院 Voletarium 案例，年報列為指標性合作。
  • LEGOLAND 國際樂高樂園品牌，非台股掛牌；智崴 m-Ride 取得多座樂高樂園訂單。
  • Dreamworld 澳洲主題樂園，非台股掛牌；年報列為智崴已打入之國際知名主題樂園客戶案例。
  • 長隆集團／長隆海洋樂園 中國大型文旅與主題樂園營運商，非台股掛牌；智崴為長隆宇宙飛船樂園打造之百慕大歷險獲 Thea Awards 傑出成就獎。
  • 尼加拉大瀑布公園委員會 加拿大公營景點管理機構，非台股掛牌；智崴提供飛行劇院統包服務，包含主題設計、影片內容與劇院建置。
  • Flyover Attractions 國際沉浸式飛行劇院品牌，非台股掛牌；原屬 Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality，智崴截至2026年6月擬收購中，若完成將成為營運通路與品牌平台。
  • Vekoma Rides 荷蘭遊樂設備公司，非台股掛牌；InPark Magazine 指出 i-Ride 曾由智崴與 Vekoma 合作，Vekoma 負責行銷與銷售。
  • 現代汽車 韓國上市公司，非台股掛牌；智崴為其打造結合六軸體感與LED沉浸式球幕的品牌體驗劇院。

Competitors

  • Walt Disney Imagineering／迪士尼 美國上市公司 The Walt Disney Company 旗下研發設計單位，非台股掛牌；年報提及迪士尼擁有同類型劇場但造價高昂且未對外銷售，屬技術標竿而非一般外售供應商。
  • SimEx-Iwerks 加拿大／美國沉浸式影院與動感劇場供應商，非台股掛牌；提供 SkyRide 等飛行模擬與沉浸式影像方案。
  • Simworx 英國遊樂設備與沉浸式體驗供應商，非台股掛牌；ThemeparX 將其列為飛行劇院供應商之一。
  • Dynamic Attractions 國際大型遊樂設備與飛行劇院相關供應商，非台股掛牌；市場研究與產業資料常列為大型飛行劇院競爭者。
  • Triotech 加拿大互動與沉浸式遊樂設備供應商，非台股掛牌；產品涵蓋互動影院與飛行劇院概念。
  • KUKA Robotics／Simtec Systems 德國工業機器人與動感平台相關供應商，非台股掛牌；大型飛行劇院市場資料列為關鍵公司或技術供應商。
Sources（17）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.