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6904

伯鑫 Other As of 2026-07-28 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 伯鑫 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
估值 54品質 71成長 90動能 60籌碼 75

Is 伯鑫 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • 獲利能力中上。營業利益率位居全市場第 72 百分位。最新一季 ROE 約 3.2%。

  • 估值中性。本益比位居全市場第 48 百分位。

  • 外資近期偏買。外資近 20 日買賣超約佔成交量 4.0%（買超）。

  • 營收高成長。最新月營收年增率約 78.7%，超過 20% 的成長門檻。

Chip flow

Neutral -0.02
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
  • 國票-天祥 holds 57 lots
  • sellers have 1 lots left, ~10 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -1% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國票-天祥 has accumulated 57 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 台新-台中 peaked at 4 lots, has sold 75%, 1 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -2.27pp, mid holders +0, retail +0.01pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -10 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國票-天祥永豐金證券華南永昌國泰-台中台新美好-高雄
Distributing
台新-台中元大-員林中山元大-敦化元大證券元富-大昌
Desks
own scale
群益金鼎-高雄凱基-市政新光-台中聯邦-台南
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國票-天祥 +57
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 永豐金證券 +50
    sold 2%
  • 華南永昌 +30
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰-台中 +17
    sold 0%
  • 台新 +6
    sold 0%
  • 美好-高雄 +5
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 台新-台中 1 left
    sold 75%· paused recently
  • 元大-員林中山 1 left
    sold 67%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 元大-敦化 2 left
    sold 33%· paused recently
  • 元大證券 2 left
    sold 33%· paused recently
  • 元富-大昌 1 left
    sold 50%· paused recently

Desks

  • 群益金鼎-高雄 -50
    unclassified
  • 凱基-市政 -21
    unclassified
  • 新光-台中 -16
    unclassified
  • 聯邦-台南 -10
    unclassified
Still selling 1 lots ~10 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +21 absorbed / -1 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

目前正在發生的訊號

以下訊號在最近一筆資料中成立，附這檔股票自身歷史上每次出現後的前瞻報酬統計

月營收年增率 ≥ 20%（公告截止日起算）

Active · now 78.74%

單月營收年增率達 20% 以上；事件日為公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到未公告資訊

5 historical occurrences (since 2024-03-11)

這個訊號在全市場是否站得住腳

「月營收年增率 ≥ 20%」過去 243 個月，每月平均約 404 檔個股符合條件；這些個股之後 60 個交易日的還原股價報酬，等權平均為 6.99%，平均贏過大盤 2.32 個百分點，在 64.2% 的月份中跑贏發行量加權股價報酬指數。

每月對全市場符合訊號的股票取等權平均前瞻 60 日還原報酬，再對月份平均；超額相對發行量加權股價報酬指數

目前未成立的訊號（歷史統計供參）

這些訊號現在沒有發生，列出歷史樣本以供對照

股價創 252 日新高（突破日）

Pending

還原股價首次站上過去 252 個交易日最高；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

外資連續買超滿 5 個交易日

Pending

外資（不含自營商）買賣超連續 5 日為正，事件日為第 5 日；20 日內重複觸發只計一次

方法與限制

  • 所有報酬以還原股價（etl:adj_close）計算，已還原除權息與股票分割。
  • 超額報酬以發行量加權股價報酬指數（含息）為基準。
  • 估值位階與分位統計以「截至當天為止的自身歷史」滾動計算，不使用未來資訊。
  • 營收訊號的事件日對齊到公告截止日後第一個交易日，避免提前用到尚未公開的資訊。
  • 事件樣本之間日期可能重疊，統計僅描述歷史分布，樣本數較少時參考價值有限。

本頁內容為歷史資料統計與教育用途，不構成投資建議。投資一定有風險，過去績效不代表未來表現，交易前請自行評估並承擔風險。