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TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank

Financial Services

125.04 +0.54 +0.43% Close 11/2
Since 2024-12-02 +135.8%
Open
125.02
High
126.18
Low
124.91
Prev close
124.50
Volume
868K
Amplitude
1.02%
Revenue YoY (TTM)
-4.4%
52W 79.52 127.96

Is The Toronto-Dominion Bank a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-30

Quality: Good, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Quality Good All 3 indicators are Good.
ROE, TTM (%) 12.75 72th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 17.91 69th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 20.9 78th percentile Good
Quality Factor Investing: A US Quality Value Backtest
Growth Neutral All 2 indicators are Average.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) -4.37 28th percentile Average
Diluted EPS growth, TTM YoY (%) -19.88 46th percentile Average
Momentum Strong 240-day return is Top; 60-day return is Good.
60-day return (%) 3.44 78th percentile Good
240-day return (%) 57.6 89th percentile Top
Momentum Trading Strategy: A 12-1 Momentum Backtest
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 181,377,487 91th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 19.57 21th percentile Good

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-30

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

FinLab Studio

From The Toronto-Dominion Bank to every stock like it

AI finds several complementary traits of The Toronto-Dominion Bank across different dimensions, combines them into a multifactor strategy, and backtests it against the market.

Screen stocks like The Toronto-Dominion Bank

The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) peers and tracking

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The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

23 historical occurrences (since 2017-01-04)

Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high

20-day: Win 72.7%, Sample 22, Median +3.01%, Excess +0.9%, Beat mkt rate 63.6%

60-day: Win 68.2%, Sample 22, Median +7.76%, Excess +3.86%, Beat mkt rate 63.6%

120-day: Win 59.1%, Sample 22, Median +7.27%, Excess +5.41%, Beat mkt rate 59.1%

120 days after: historical avg +9.99%

20-day +2.1%
60-day +5.67%
120-day +9.99%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
72.7%
68.2%
59.1%
Sample
22
22
22
Median
+3.01%
+7.76%
+7.27%
Excess
+0.9%
+3.86%
+5.41%
Beat mkt rate
63.6%
63.6%
59.1%

Over 22 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.99%, beat the market by 5.41 pts; win rate 59.1%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 99,493 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.42%, a 58.4% positive-return rate, and +3.08 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +2.37%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -0.83 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

9 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.11%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by -1.35 pts on average.

Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
  • Financial statements are reported in CAD. Operating margin, ROE and revenue growth are computed within CAD; no figure divides the USD share price by CAD amounts.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.