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TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Technology

453.31

Close 10/9

Open
464.21
High
464.83
Low
449.75
Prev close
457.99
Volume
9M
52W 266.82 487.47
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Is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-09

Quality: Strong, Growth: Strong, Momentum: Strong, Risk / liquidity: Strong.

Quality Strong All 3 indicators are Top.
ROE, TTM (%) 34.85 89th percentile Top
Operating margin, TTM (%) 56.03 93th percentile Top
FCF margin, TTM (%) 26.78 84th percentile Top
Growth Strong Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Top.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 30.85 82th percentile Top
Momentum Strong All 2 indicators are Top.
60-day return (%) 10.93 83th percentile Top
240-day return (%) 54.45 89th percentile Top
Risk / liquidity Strong 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 4,405,103,127 100th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 33.98 38th percentile Good

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-09

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) peers and tracking

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

52-week adjusted-price high

Active

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

29 historical occurrences (since 2017-02-13)
Average forward return after 52-week adjusted-price high。20-day: Win 67.9%, Sample 28, Median +3.75%, Excess +2.87%, Beat mkt rate 67.9%;60-day: Win 75%, Sample 28, Median +8.59%, Excess +5.5%, Beat mkt rate 71.4%;120-day: Win 73.1%, Sample 26, Median +17.07%, Excess +10.17%, Beat mkt rate 73.1%

120 days after: historical avg +16.18%

20-day +4.14%
60-day +9.01%
120-day +16.18%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
67.9%
75%
73.1%
Sample
28
28
26
Median
+3.75%
+8.59%
+17.07%
Excess
+2.87%
+5.5%
+10.17%
Beat mkt rate
67.9%
71.4%
73.1%

Over 26 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 16.18%, beat the market by 10.17 pts; win rate 73.1%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,394 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.23%, a 57.8% positive-return rate, and +2.88 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.9%, win rate 76.9%, beating the market by +3.27 pts on average.

Filed revenue acceleration

Pending

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

10 times historically; 60-day forward avg +18.23%, win rate 80%, beating the market by +13.5 pts on average.

Continue researching Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
  • This is an American depositary receipt (ADR). The data does not say how many ordinary shares each ADR represents, so per-share and market-value metrics (P/E, price/book, free-cash-flow yield, EPS growth and earnings surprises) are not computed.
  • ADRs listed on NYSE or NASDAQ are covered as a separate group selected by dollar volume, in addition to the common-stock universe; the 6-month momentum signal ranks each ADR against the liquid US common stocks.
  • Financial statements are reported in TWD. Operating margin, ROE and revenue growth are computed within TWD; no figure divides the USD share price by TWD amounts.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.