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ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

Industrials

20.15

Close 10/9

Open
20.03
High
20.28
Low
20.00
Prev close
19.90
Volume
1.3M
52W 18.11 26.20
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Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

As of 2026-10-09

Quality: Good, Growth: Good, Risk / liquidity: Good.

Quality Good ROE, TTM is Good, but FCF margin, TTM is Average.
ROE, TTM (%) 16.11 77th percentile Good
Operating margin, TTM (%) 20.35 73th percentile Good
FCF margin, TTM (%) 4.3 49th percentile Average
Growth Good Revenue growth, TTM YoY is Good.
Revenue growth, TTM YoY (%) 16.38 71th percentile Good
Momentum Neutral 240-day return is Good, but 60-day return is Average.
60-day return (%) -18.06 24th percentile Average
240-day return (%) 4.89 61th percentile Good
Risk / liquidity Good 20-day dollar volume is Top; 60-day annualized volatility is Good.
20-day dollar volume 58,649,016 82th percentile Top
60-day annualized volatility (%) 27.66 30th percentile Good

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) today

1 quant signals active · As of 2026-10-09

Win rate and excess are historical post-trigger stats vs the market. Click a signal for its full definition and samples; history does not predict future results.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) peers and tracking

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) quant signal backtests

Signals active now

Each active condition is tested against this stock’s own history and benchmarked versus the S&P 500.

Filed revenue acceleration

Active · now 16.38%

TTM revenue growth is at least 10% and improved versus the prior filed quarter; event date is the SEC filing date.

12 historical occurrences (since 2018-04-02)
Average forward return after Filed revenue acceleration。20-day: Win 25%, Sample 12, Median -2.68%, Excess -4.01%, Beat mkt rate 41.7%；60-day: Win 36.4%, Sample 11, Median -2.67%, Excess -3.39%, Beat mkt rate 27.3%；120-day: Win 60%, Sample 10, Median +2.78%, Excess -5.58%, Beat mkt rate 30%

120 days after: historical avg +2.14%

20-day -1.53%
60-day +1.14%
120-day +2.14%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
25%
36.4%
60%
Sample
12
11
10
Median
-2.68%
-2.67%
+2.78%
Excess
-4.01%
-3.39%
-5.58%
Beat mkt rate
41.7%
27.3%
30%

Over 10 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.14%, lagged the market by 5.58 pts; win rate 60%.

More history: Market-wide momentum baseline, Signals not active now

Market-wide momentum baseline

Across 98,394 liquid US common-stock samples, top-quintile 6-month momentum was followed by an average 60-trading-day return of +6.23%, a 57.8% positive-return rate, and +2.88 percentage points of average excess return versus the S&P 500.

Baseline: weekly samples since 2016 where a liquid US common stock ranked in the top quintile by 126-trading-day momentum. Forward return is 60 trading days; excess return is versus S&P 500 (^GSPC).

Signals not active now

Inactive signals still show the stock-specific historical forward-return distribution for context.

52-week adjusted-price high

Pending

Adjusted close first reaches a 252-trading-day high; repeated hits within 20 days count once.

14 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.61%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -1.4 pts on average.

Top-quintile 6-month momentum

Pending

The stock ranks in the top 20% of the liquid US common-stock universe by 126-day adjusted return.

18 times historically; 60-day forward avg -7.41%, win rate 16.7%, beating the market by -9.59 pts on average.

Continue researching ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. with the evidence above.

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Method and limits

  • Returns use us_price:adj_close, adjusted for splits and dividends where available.
  • Excess returns use world_index:^GSPC as the S&P 500 benchmark proxy.
  • Quarterly fundamentals are aligned to SEC filing dates before daily valuation studies.
  • The promoted universe starts from active NYSE/NASDAQ common stocks, then applies price and dollar-volume gates.
  • Snapshot-only tables such as analyst consensus, DCF, us_ratios, and us_key_metrics are intentionally excluded from historical evidence.
  • Overlapping event windows are descriptive distributions, not independent samples.
  • This is an American depositary receipt (ADR). The data does not say how many ordinary shares each ADR represents, so per-share and market-value metrics (P/E, price/book, free-cash-flow yield, EPS growth and earnings surprises) are not computed.
  • ADRs listed on NYSE or NASDAQ are covered as a separate group selected by dollar volume, in addition to the common-stock universe; the 6-month momentum signal ranks each ADR against the liquid US common stocks.
  • Financial statements are reported in CNY. Operating margin, ROE and revenue growth are computed within CNY; no figure divides the USD share price by CNY amounts.

This page is for historical data analysis and education only. It is not investment advice. Backtests and historical return distributions do not predict future performance; evaluate risk independently before trading.