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3002

歐格 Computer & Peripherals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 歐格 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 40Quality 16Growth 84Momentum 64Chips 6

Is 歐格 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 13th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -0.5%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 81th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 75th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -7.2% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 49.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.25
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
  • 凱基-站前 holds 750 lots
  • sellers have 1,231 lots left, ~78 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -14% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 凱基-站前 has accumulated 750 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 美商高盛 peaked at 1,199 lots, has sold 30%, 836 left, ~59 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.61pp, mid holders +2, retail -0.73pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -757 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
凱基-站前統一-城中新光-新竹統一-中壢華南永昌合庫-高雄
Distributing
美商高盛福勝元大-歸仁元大-竹山元大-大里富邦-陽明
Desks
own scale
凱基-台北台新-台中美林港商野村
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 凱基-站前 +750
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 統一-城中 +662
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 新光-新竹 +314
    sold 8%
  • 統一-中壢 +124
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 華南永昌 +113
    sold 18%
  • 合庫-高雄 +100
    sold 17%

Distributing

  • 美商高盛 836 left
    sold 30%· ~59 sessions to clear
  • 福勝 85 left
    sold 33%· ~27 sessions to clear
  • 元大-歸仁 44 left
    sold 61%· ~9 sessions to clear
  • 元大-竹山 78 left
    sold 27%· ~78 sessions to clear
  • 元大-大里 52 left
    sold 43%· ~52 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-陽明 13 left
    sold 84%· paused recently

Desks

  • 凱基-台北 -376
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 台新-台中 -238
    unclassified
  • 美林 -143
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 港商野村 -135
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 1,231 lots ~78 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,765 absorbed / -311 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -311 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 49.16%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

83 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 45.8%, Sample 72, Median -0.93%, Excess -1.24%, Beat mkt rate 38.9%；60-day: Win 37.5%, Sample 72, Median -3.55%, Excess -5.2%, Beat mkt rate 36.1%；120-day: Win 35.7%, Sample 70, Median -3.73%, Excess -10.03%, Beat mkt rate 25.7%

120 days after: historical avg -0.21%

20-day -0.66%
60-day -0.68%
120-day -0.21%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
45.8%
37.5%
35.7%
Sample
72
72
70
Median
-0.93%
-3.55%
-3.73%
Excess
-1.24%
-5.2%
-10.03%
Beat mkt rate
38.9%
36.1%
25.7%

Over 70 occurrences, 120-day forward avg declined 0.21%, lagged the market by 10.03 pts; win rate 35.7%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 34+24.1% +28.6% 97.1% -28.8%
20-40 536-2.7% -5.9% 39% -15.8%
40-60 375+3% -4.8% 38.1% -8.6%
60-80 You are here766+20.2% +18.6% 73.2% +4.3%
80-100 845+20% +13.9% 80.2% -8.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 63.33, at the 75.0th percentile of its own history (60-80 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+7.9%
Win rate 42.5% Excess -1.2%
146d
+3%
Win rate 42.1% Excess -4.8%
392d
Now
+8.8%
Win rate 61.1% Excess -5.1%
917d
60-day momentum down
-1.6%
Win rate 36.6% Excess -8.6%
292d
+3.9%
Win rate 58.2% Excess -1.8%
340d
+13%
Win rate 71.4% Excess +4.1%
588d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 917 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 8.8%, win rate 61.1%, lagged the market by 5.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

20 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.91%, win rate 40%, beating the market by -2.01 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

37 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.15%, win rate 42.9%, beating the market by -7.4 pts on average.

What does 歐格 do? Company profile

電腦及週邊設備業 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

3002 對應證券為歐格電子股份有限公司普通股，市場別為台灣證券交易所上市，產業類別為電腦及週邊設備業。公司成立於1983/08/01，公開發行日期1999/07/15，上市日期2002/01/23，總部位於台北市內湖區內湖路一段88號5樓，統一編號31306250。董事長與總經理均為李廣浩，發言人為林瑞峰。實收資本額為新台幣1,020,000,000元，已發行普通股102,000,000股，每股面額10元，特別股0股。簽證會計師事務所為勤業眾信聯合會計師事務所。年報揭露115年4月11日前十大股東包含浩瀚投資股份有限公司20,325,271股、19.93%；李文瀚9,009,103股、8.83%；李宛庭8,627,519股、8.46%；李廣浩8,332,359股、8.17%；陳玫伶6,297,651股、6.17%；其餘包含郭靜香、程冠霖、林美惠、公卿投資有限公司、周百能。年報揭露115年4月30日從業員工40人、平均年齡47.1歲、平均服務年資14.8年；104人力銀行另揭露員工數約500人，兩者可能因母公司與集團/海外廠口徑不同。公司股利政策為年度可分配盈餘原則提撥30%以上分配股東紅利，現金股利不得低於股利總額10%。

Business

歐格以電源及雲端智慧管理裝置、電路保護元件、博弈機觸控螢幕及周邊設備為三大營運分部，提供研發設計、量產、後勤支援、配銷及售後服務，並可依客戶需求提供OEM/ODM及客製化設計製造。114年度合併營收690,271千元，年增16.76%；稅後淨利32,998千元，EPS 0.36元；但本業營業淨損43,838千元，主要獲利貢獻仍包含營業外收入及金融資產相關收益。114年度營收結構為博弈機觸控螢幕及周邊設備322,817千元、46.77%；電路保護元件229,441千元、33.24%；電源及雲端智慧管理裝置138,013千元、19.99%。地區別營收以外銷為主，114年度內銷65,209千元、9.45%，外銷625,062千元、90.55%，其中歐洲383,657千元、55.58%，美洲69,453千元、10.06%，其他地區171,952千元、24.91%。主要產品包含PDU機櫃電源分配器、旅行用多國插頭轉接器/變壓器/USB充電器、智慧電源管理系統、UPS；電路保護元件包含壓敏電阻、氣體放電管、高分子正溫度係數熱敏電阻、TVS、ESD保護器、穩壓二極體；博弈產品包含觸控螢幕、揚聲器、LED氣氛燈條。主要應用包含資料中心、伺服器、網通設備、電腦週邊、通訊、智慧居家、家電、汽車電子、行動通訊基地台、電源供應器及博弈機台。114年度單一主要客戶A公司銷貨333,719千元、占銷貨淨額48.35%，年報未揭露其實名。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年已反映營收回升與產品組合轉向，114年度營收年增16.76%，最大動能來自博弈機觸控螢幕及周邊設備由113年度155,864千元增至114年度322,817千元；但電源及雲端智慧管理裝置由200,307千元降至138,013千元，顯示產品線動能並不均衡。2026年初至5月第三方月營收資料顯示累計營收343,927千元、年增27.8%，短期營收動能延續，但仍需觀察主要客戶A公司集中度與毛利改善。公司年報對115年度方針為提高現有客戶新產品占比、開發具潛力新客戶、提升高階產品組合、推動生產革新與供應鏈管理；115年度研發支出規劃約占營收5%至6%。2026至2028年較可查證的成長主軸包括：一、AI與雲端資料中心用高功率智慧PDU，公司2025/06/02宣布加入OCP並投入High Power Smart PDU，未來將推符合規範的高效能電源產品；二、雲端資料中心與AI運算中心智能電源分配器、嵌入式處理器，年報列為未來研發計畫；三、AI居家健康平台與醫療照護場域自主移動載台，公司已推出ANT小安照顧助理，並有媒體報導其以AI、多模態感知、智慧互動與大數據分析應用於長者居家照護；四、車規用耐高壓電路保護元件、新材料/新結構保護元件與高階博弈觸控螢幕。產業面，AI資料中心正提升高密度供電、散熱與網通需求，台達等大型廠商於2025 OCP展示高壓直流、液冷與網通方案，代表資料中心電力基礎設施投資趨勢有利，但歐格規模較小，能否轉化為量產訂單仍未確認。主要風險包括：A公司占114年度銷貨48.35%的客戶集中風險；外銷占90.55%帶來匯率、關稅與國際景氣風險；中國大陸營運成本與缺工；低價競爭；本業營業損失仍待改善；新產品如AI照護、OCP高功率PDU需通過認證、導入與量產驗證，2027至2028營收貢獻尚屬推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 泛歐國際有限公司 歐格子公司，年報揭露為主要進貨廠商；114年度進貨185,031千元，占進貨淨額39.32%。非台股掛牌公司。
  • 未具名電子零組件、印刷電路板、金屬、塑膠與電路保護材料供應商 年報揭露電源及雲端智慧管理裝置上游包含開關、變壓器、電感、電容、突波保護器、放電管、PCB、鐵板、銅片、電子線、保險絲、塑膠；電路保護元件上游包含金屬氧化物、塗裝材料、電極材料、添加劑、金屬導線。年報未揭露具名台股供應商。
Downstream
  • A公司 年報匿名揭露之主要客戶；114年度銷貨333,719千元，占銷貨淨額48.35%，113年度為174,530千元、29.52%。年報未揭露實名與是否掛牌。
  • 電腦週邊、電信通訊、消費性電子、家電、電機、汽車電子、資料中心、伺服器、網通設備、博弈機系統與通路客戶 年報揭露之下游應用/客戶群；博弈產品下游包含代理商、通路商、電子遊藝場、Casino業者、平台營運商。未具名，無法填台股代號。

Competitors

Sources（12）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.