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6174

安碁 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, premium valuation.

2 active signals
252d high Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 安碁 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 22Quality 61Growth 69Momentum 95Chips 50

Is 安碁 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 62th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.5%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 84th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 85th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.5% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 24.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as 252-day price high, Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.29
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 元大-龍潭 holds 172 lots
  • sellers have 438 lots left, ~160 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +131% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 元大-龍潭 has accumulated 172 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 893 lots, has sold 59%, 368 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.14pp, mid holders -3, retail +3.81pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -184 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
元大-龍潭元富中國信託-嘉義凱基-湖口國泰證券元大-新盛
Distributing
凱基-台北摩根大通凱基新加坡商瑞銀美林群益金鼎-海山
Desks
own scale
元大-草屯永興-台中台新-嘉義凱基-站前
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 元大-龍潭 +172
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元富 +128
    sold 0%
  • 中國信託-嘉義 +119
    sold 14%
  • 凱基-湖口 +96
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰證券 +87
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-新盛 +85
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 凱基-台北 368 left
    sold 59%· paused recently
  • 摩根大通 548 left
    sold 29%· paused recently
  • 凱基 67 left
    sold 83%· paused recently
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 160 left
    sold 43%· paused recently
  • 美林 41 left
    sold 85%· paused recently
  • 群益金鼎-海山 86 left
    sold 64%· ~6 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大-草屯 -2,139
    unclassified
  • 永興-台中 -532
    unclassified
  • 台新-嘉義 -443
    unclassified
  • 凱基-站前 -426
    unclassified
Still selling 438 lots ~160 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,182 absorbed / -611 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -54 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

252-day price high (breakout)

Active

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

24 historical occurrences (since 2009-11-10)
Average forward return after 252-day price high (breakout)。20-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 24, Median +6.71%, Excess +7.32%, Beat mkt rate 62.5%；60-day: Win 60.9%, Sample 23, Median +9.08%, Excess +8.53%, Beat mkt rate 56.5%；120-day: Win 65.2%, Sample 23, Median +11.22%, Excess +14.71%, Beat mkt rate 56.5%

120 days after: historical avg +17.71%

20-day +8.88%
60-day +9.89%
120-day +17.71%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
66.7%
60.9%
65.2%
Sample
24
23
23
Median
+6.71%
+9.08%
+11.22%
Excess
+7.32%
+8.53%
+14.71%
Beat mkt rate
62.5%
56.5%
56.5%

Over 23 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 17.71%, beat the market by 14.71 pts; win rate 65.2%.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 24.82%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

63 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 51.7%, Sample 58, Median +1.14%, Excess +3.38%, Beat mkt rate 48.3%；60-day: Win 50%, Sample 56, Median +0.12%, Excess +4.72%, Beat mkt rate 44.6%；120-day: Win 49.1%, Sample 55, Median -1.16%, Excess +3.48%, Beat mkt rate 43.6%

120 days after: historical avg +7.58%

20-day +3.44%
60-day +5.8%
120-day +7.58%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
51.7%
50%
49.1%
Sample
58
56
55
Median
+1.14%
+0.12%
-1.16%
Excess
+3.38%
+4.72%
+3.48%
Beat mkt rate
48.3%
44.6%
43.6%

Over 55 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.58%, beat the market by 3.48 pts; win rate 49.1%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 818-4.2% -5.4% 36.6% -19.6%
20-40 393-0.3% -0.1% 49.6% -16.5%
40-60 517+6% -1.9% 46% -7%
60-80 452+2.4% -3.4% 40% -13.2%
80-100 You are here657+46% +47.4% 69.6% +24.4%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 73.47, at the 84.9th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-1.6%
Win rate 42% Excess -8.5%
448d
+1.7%
Win rate 49.3% Excess -5.4%
477d
Now
+16.2%
Win rate 55.9% Excess +7%
623d
60-day momentum down
+3.1%
Win rate 65.4% Excess -4.1%
615d
+5%
Win rate 57% Excess -4.3%
414d
+8.6%
Win rate 59.3% Excess -3.9%
364d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 623 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 16.2%, win rate 55.9%, beat the market by 7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

37 times historically; 60-day forward avg +5.59%, win rate 58.3%, beating the market by +1.36 pts on average.

What does 安碁 do? Company profile

電子零組件業；被動元件／石英頻率元件 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

6174 對應證券為安碁科技股份有限公司普通股，英文簡稱 AKER，統一編號 22100469。公司成立於 1990/12/01，2000/05/25 公開發行，2002/01/01 興櫃，2002/05/02 上櫃；總部及工廠位於台中市潭子區建國路 11-3 號。董事長為林逸倫，總經理為李靜怡，年報揭露董事長與總經理互為配偶；發言人為陳孟成。實收資本額新台幣 5 億元，已發行普通股 50,000,000 股，每股面額新台幣 10 元。104 人力銀行頁面揭露員工人數約 270 人；公司年報亦有從業員工表，但 PDF 轉文字未能完整辨識細項。主要持股方面，鉅亨網揭露前 15 大董監事經理人持股包含安聖電子科技股份有限公司 13,640,808 股、李靜怡 3,244,747 股、林逸倫 2,152,602 股；財報狗揭露 2026/05 董監持股比率 38.08%。

Business

安碁為專業石英元件製造商，主要從事石英晶體、石英晶體振盪器、壓控／溫補／差動輸出等石英振盪器，以及濾波器等產品與半成品之研發、製造、加工及內外銷；商業模式以自有品牌 AKER、客製化規格設計、大量生產與全球通路／代理服務為主。2024 年度營業收入淨額為新台幣 466,961 仟元，年增 0.35%，稅後淨利 37,261 仟元，EPS 0.75 元；產品營收結構為 SMD 石英元件 433,628 仟元、占 92.86%，其他 33,790 仟元、占 7.24%，銷貨退回及折讓 -0.10%。銷售地區方面，2024 年台灣 21.13%、亞洲 49.12%、歐美 29.75%。產品應用涵蓋物聯網、智慧家庭、智慧城市、智慧醫療、車用電子、ADAS、車載乙太網、胎壓偵測、行車記錄器、電腦與平板、OA 設備、智慧音箱、穿戴裝置、TWS 耳機、智慧電視、網路卡、LAN／W-LAN／ADSL／STB 等網通設備。2024 年主要客戶以代號揭露，最大客戶 A 客戶占 7.90%，B 客戶占 4.41%，其他客戶占 87.69%，公司表示客戶分散、無銷貨過度集中風險。2026 年 5 月合併營收 64,197 仟元、年增 24.83%，2026 年 1-5 月累計營收 299,084 仟元、年增 21.41%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025-2028 年展望以「小型化、高頻化、高精度、車用與高速運算應用」為主軸。公司 2025 年營運計畫指出將穩定取得原物料供應、持續開發利基產品、提供技術行銷服務，並以台灣生產、全球服務為主軸；2025 年預計石英元件銷售量 165,800 仟個。研發方向包括 1.2x1.0mm 小型化石英晶體、TCXO、1612 振盪器、High Frequency Differential OSC、Low Phase Noise OSC、Multi Output Clock OSC、2016 Differential OSC 等，年報列示各項仍在產品開發階段，目標完成量產時間為 2025/12。2026 年公司受惠車用電子用量提升，並爭取 AI 伺服器與光模塊商機；媒體報導公司預估 2026 年資本支出約 9,181 萬元，投入 1612／2016 等微型化、高頻差動石英振盪器產能與研發建置，以因應車用、AI 伺服器與高速傳輸需求。產業趨勢方面，石英元件仍是資訊、通訊、消費性電子、車用、物聯網、5G、雲端、AI、HPC 與光通訊設備的時脈與頻率控制基礎元件，SMD 型、小尺寸、高頻、低相位雜訊、高可靠度與寬溫產品需求可望增加。主要風險包括：終端電子需求循環波動、客戶補庫存是否延續、MEMS 等替代技術、日系與中系廠競爭、原物料供應與日幣／美元匯率波動、擴產後若需求下滑導致稼動率偏低、產品單價下滑造成毛利壓力，以及高階產品驗證時程不確定。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • IC 供應商 年報揭露 IC 主要來自日本，共 7 家供應商；供應商名稱因契約或揭露限制未列名，非可確認台股掛牌公司。
  • PACKAGE／基座供應商 年報揭露 PACKAGE 主要來自日本及大陸，共 3 家供應商；屬石英元件封裝基座材料供應來源，名稱未揭露。
  • LID／上蓋供應商 年報揭露 LID 主要來自大陸及日本，共 2 家供應商；屬封裝上蓋材料，名稱未揭露。
  • 晶片（SMD BLANK）供應商 年報揭露晶片供應來源為台灣及大陸，共 8 家供應商；屬石英晶體與振盪器核心材料，名稱未揭露。
  • 石英培育、精密機械、金屬材料、陶瓷材料供應鏈 年報將石英培育、精密機械、金屬材料及陶瓷材料列為石英元件產業上游；未揭露具名供應商。
Downstream
  • A 客戶 2024 年最大銷貨客戶，占年度銷貨淨額 7.90%；年報以代號揭露，名稱未公開，無法確認是否台股掛牌。
  • B 客戶 2024 年第二大銷貨客戶，占年度銷貨淨額 4.41%；年報以代號揭露，名稱未公開，無法確認是否台股掛牌。
  • 車用電子客戶群 下游應用包含 ADAS、車身控制、胎壓偵測、車載高速網路、安全氣囊、智慧鑰匙、環景與行車記錄器等；具體客戶未揭露。
  • 網通、資訊與消費性電子客戶群 下游應用包含網路卡、LAN、W-LAN、ADSL、STB、電腦、平板、OA、智慧音箱、穿戴裝置、TWS 耳機與智慧電視等；具體客戶未揭露。
  • AI 伺服器與光模塊潛在客戶 2026 年媒體報導公司爭取 AI 伺服器與光模塊商機，並針對高頻差動與微型化產品擴產；具體客戶未揭露。

Competitors

  • 台灣晶技 3042 台股上市公司，專業頻率元件供應商，產品涵蓋石英晶體、諧振器與振盪器；年報列為國內石英晶體元件主要同業。
  • 希華 2484 台股上市公司，從事石英頻率控制元件研發、設計、生產與銷售；年報列為國內主要同業。
  • 台嘉碩 3221 台股上櫃公司，石英元件與頻率控制元件同業；年報列為國內主要競爭廠商。
  • 加高 8182 台股上櫃公司，石英元件同業；年報列為國內主要競爭廠商。
  • 泰藝電子 8289 台股上櫃公司，石英頻率元件同業；年報列為國內主要競爭廠商。
  • 晶越 台股上櫃公司，市場資料列為石英元件同業競爭者。
  • Seiko Epson／NDK／KDS／Kyocera 等日系廠 海外石英元件主要競爭者，非台股掛牌；年報指出日本在高階產品與全球產值仍具重要地位。
  • SiTime 美國上市 MEMS timing 元件供應商，屬替代技術競爭者；非台股掛牌。
Sources（16）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.