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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 8941 關中. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=8941
8941
quality needs a look, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 關中 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 29th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.5%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 74th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 93th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.5% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -8% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 元大-內湖民權 has accumulated 200 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
- Main distributor 玉山證券 peaked at 38 lots, has sold 53%, 18 left, ~22 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +2.35pp, mid holders -1, retail +0.52pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -13 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 元大-內湖民權 +200
- 元大-樹林 +165
- 元大-豐原 +98
- 大昌-樹林 +90
- 第一金-安和 +80
- 宏遠-館前 +59
Distributing
- 玉山證券 18 left
Desks
- 國泰-忠孝 -316
- 宏遠-民生 -76
- 陽信-石牌 -34
- 臺銀-金山 -24
Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 208 | +16.4% | +19.2% | 74% | +1.4% |
| 20-40 | 845 | +23% | +17.3% | 66.7% | +5.8% |
| 40-60 | 536 | -3.4% | -6.5% | 41% | -27.3% |
| 60-80 | 241 | +5.6% | +3.7% | 78% | -25.8% |
| 80-100 You are here | 0 | Insufficient data | |||
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 46.13, at the 92.9th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(17d)
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 77 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 0.4%, win rate 48.1%, lagged the market by 43.2%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +8.86%, win rate 53.6%, beating the market by +6.9 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
37 times historically; 60-day forward avg +0.54%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -4.62 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
What does 關中 do? Company profile
Overview
關中股份有限公司為台灣櫃買中心上櫃普通股,證券代號8941,英文簡稱 GRAND HALL。公司成立於1976年3月26日,公開發行日為1999年7月16日,上櫃掛牌日為2003年1月20日,總部位於台北市內湖區瑞光路298號9樓,統一編號14062738。依櫃買中心公開資料,實收資本額為新台幣349,720,710元,已發行普通股34,972,071股,特別股0股,私募股0股,股務代理為凱基證券。董事長為洪文照;公開資訊觀測站與Yahoo公司基本資料仍列總經理林士超,但2026年6月16日重大訊息公告顯示林士超於2026年6月8日申請退休,董事會決議由洪國堯自2026年6月16日起擔任新任總經理,其簡歷為子公司PlugNGrill LLC負責人。主要股東方面,2026年1月Goodinfo董監持股資料顯示中道投資股份有限公司持有約11,351張、持股約32.5%,董事長法人代表洪文照個人持有約1,125張、約3.2%;Yahoo資料顯示董監持股比例約35.27%。員工規模未能在本次可查公開來源中確認,故不填具體人數。
Business
關中是瓦斯應用器材、戶外烹飪與安全閥相關產品公司,官方網站描述其創立於1976年,早期專精瓦斯應用器材出口,後來擴展至戶外瓦斯用品設計與製作,並自稱為北美、歐洲與澳洲市場具規模的戶外烤肉爐製造商之一。主要產品包括戶外瓦斯烤肉爐、Pizza烤爐、CROSSRAY紅外線烤爐系統、瓦斯桶開關與高壓閥、瓦斯暖爐、移動火爐與裝飾火焰產品。MoneyDJ資料指出,2024年產品營收比重約為戶外瓦斯烤肉爐42%、瓦斯桶開關或安全閥55%;2025年新聞亦稱戶外烤肉爐與安全閥營收貢獻約41比56,兩大主力合計約96%至97%。商業模式兼具ODM/OEM、產品設計研發、製造、品牌與通路布局;官方網站稱公司從產品代工、委託設計到自有品牌,提供產品策略與上市計畫。終端應用以戶外烹飪、家庭與商用庭院設備、瓦斯安全閥與高壓閥、暖爐及裝飾火焰為主;主要銷售地區為北美、歐洲、澳洲,近年積極擴大澳洲、加拿大與歐洲等非美市場。2025全年合併營收依Yahoo營收資料約新台幣2,982,903千元,較2024年約3,149,454千元下降約5.29%;2026年1至5月累計營收約新台幣1,282,981千元,年減約2.11%。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年關中營收約維持30億元規模,但美國對等關稅、鋼鋁進口關稅與匯損使獲利承壓;新聞資料指出2025年前三季營收22.29億元、年減近5%,前三季EPS約0.48元,遠低於2024年同期。2026年展望重點包括降低對美國市場與關稅政策的依賴,擴大澳洲、加拿大與歐洲市場;公司指出澳洲市場拓展有成,2025年對澳洲出貨已與美國相當,並將戶外烤肉爐列為2026年發展重點。產品面成長動能包含CROSSRAY紅外線烤爐、電烤肉爐研發、瓦斯安全閥與高壓閥品項延伸,以及戶外暖爐、移動火爐、裝飾火焰等庭院生活產品。營運面公司提及AI轉型、接班人計畫,以及規劃於台灣收購warehouse倉庫以擴建物流體系;新任總經理洪國堯具PlugNGrill LLC背景,可能有助美國與自有品牌、通路營運整合。2027至2028年公開來源未見公司正式量化指引,合理推估中期關鍵在於非美市場滲透率、產品組合改善、關稅成本轉嫁能力、匯率、原物料與鋼鋁價格、北美零售景氣及戶外生活用品需求。主要風險包括美國關稅與貿易政策反覆、台幣升值或美元波動、鋼材與黃銅等金屬成本波動、歐美消費景氣下行、低價競爭、客戶集中與通路庫存調整,以及安全閥與瓦斯器具需符合各國安規造成認證與召回風險。
Supply Chain
- 關友股份有限公司 未上市關係企業;官方網站稱其製造L-P燃氣缸閥、配件、黃銅鍛造部件、氣體閥門、水肺潛水閥、工業高壓閥與彩彈柱閥,屬安全閥與閥件相關供應鏈。
- 昇頎實業股份有限公司 未上市關係企業;官方網站稱其於2015年成立於台中,為關中集團瓦斯烤肉爐、暖爐、熱水器與戶外裝飾火焰產品的製造基地,也是相關產品研發與QC中心。
- AMADA 日本上市公司;官方產品頁提及關中生產製程使用日本AMADA雷射切割加工複合機與數控折床,屬製程設備供應商。
- TRUMPF 德國未上市設備商;官方產品頁提及使用德國TRUMPF雷射焊接設備,屬製程設備供應商。
- 鋼材、不鏽鋼、黃銅與五金零組件供應商群 關中產品涉及烤肉爐、暖爐、閥件與黃銅鍛造部件,推定上游包含金屬材料與五金零組件供應商;本次未能由公開資料確認特定台股上市櫃供應商。
- Barbeques Galore Co., Ltd. 官方網站列為關係企業品牌;屬戶外烤肉爐與相關產品品牌或通路,非台股掛牌。
- PlugNGrill LLC 未上市子公司;2026年6月16日總經理任命公告中列為新任總經理洪國堯之原任負責單位,推測與北美品牌、通路或營運有關。
- Lovinflame 官方網站列為關係企業品牌;與裝飾火焰、移動火爐及燃燒專利相關,非台股掛牌。
- Capt'n Cook 官方網站列為關係企業品牌;與戶外烤肉爐、烹飪設備品牌或通路相關,非台股掛牌。
- 北美、澳洲、加拿大與歐洲零售通路及品牌客戶 公司主要銷售地區為北美、歐洲與澳洲;2025至2026展望資料顯示正積極擴大澳洲、加拿大與歐洲非美市場。公開來源未完整揭露具名客戶。
Competitors
- Weber LLC 美國戶外烤肉爐品牌,非台股掛牌;曾為美國上市公司,後下市私有化,為全球烤肉爐品牌競爭者。
- Napoleon 加拿大戶外烤肉爐、暖爐與庭院產品品牌,未上市,為北美與國際市場競爭者。
- Char-Broil 美國烤肉爐品牌,非台股掛牌,與關中戶外烤肉爐產品在北美通路與終端市場競爭。
- Nexgrill 美國烤肉爐與戶外烹飪設備品牌,非台股掛牌,與關中烤肉爐及ODM/OEM產品形成競爭。
- Coleman 戶外休閒與烹飪設備品牌,隸屬Newell Brands;Newell為美國上市公司,非台股掛牌。
Sources(15)
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.